Thursday, April 3, 2025

Flash Flood Warnings (TN)


5:54 AM - The brown polygons are the flash flood warnings. 

Looking at this severe thunderstorm warning (yellow-orange) that includes Murfreesboro and Smyrna. Whether there is a tornado trying to form here or not (same storm that came through Spring Hill and Thompson's Station, I think Columbia before that), these winds look fierce. And wind gusts even to 60 mph are dangerous. So I'd stay in a good safe place - small interior room or hallway on the lowest floor of a sturdy house. 

6:05 AM - Looks like things are finally starting to wind down in Tennessee, where the severe stuff is moving up into Kentucky overall and they're going into more of a flash flooding threat. So think I'm going to call it a night and drop the severe weather coverage. I really didn't plan on doing it anyway. I just tracked that storm from Wayne County, and things kept being crazy. And I just rode with it. Some people I knew were in the path of one of the tornadoes too. So that had something to do with it. Everybody's okay. But that was a crazy few hours. 

6:10 - And I guess that'll teach me to speak too soon. Got another severe thunderstorm warning training over the same basic area as a while ago. No signs of tornadoes with either of these severe thunderstorm warning polygons, just straight-line winds up to 60 mph and hail about the size of quarters possible here. 

Any rotation in these storms looks broad. But if you want to shelter again for these storms, you won't get a fight out of me. It's been a long, crazy night. And it's really not a bad idea to shelter for a few minutes for a severe thunderstorm warning anyway. A lot of people ignore them. But those are issued when the storms might be a threat to life and property, beyond a regular thunderstorm or even a stronger thunderstorm. Winds of at least 58 mph or hail at least an inch in diameter. 

And I used the Huntsville/Hytop radar for those. But I switched to Nashville/Old Hickory radar and the rotation didn't really look better. I think these are just producing damaging straight line winds like the NWS issued warnings for. 



Today's severe weather risk is nowhere near what yesterday's was. Though some supercells in West TN, Arkansas, Northern Mississippi, back into parts of Texas and Oklahoma could produce really large hail again. 

And there's a basic 15% risk of severe hail and damaging winds for much of Tennessee and Kentucky too, stretching up into the Virginias. 


The tornado threat is definitely on the low end for even the Western half of Tennessee, and if we see a zone for more significant tornado damage today/tonight, it's mainly going to be over the Southern half of Arkansas, where you see that 10% hatched area defined. 


Overall the severe thunderstorm threat for North Alabama or Southern Middle Tennessee is very low later today. Middle Tennessee might see another round, but even if so, it'll be a basic threat for severe thunderstorms with large hail and damaging winds, a lower risk of isolated tornadoes. It won't be the relentless tornado threat we saw overnight tonight/this morning. 

So I'll try to get a really detailed forecast done this evening or tonight. 

For now . . . 

We'll have partly to mostly sunny skies around Cullman and North Alabama today and tomorrow, Highs in the mid-80's, Lows in mid-60's. It'll be breezy. 

And the weather will likely be similar during the day Saturday. 

But then Saturday night the front gets moving. We'll at least see heavy rain but may see some severe thunderstorms. 



Looks like the more organized stuff will stay to our West during the day, but then we'll get some potential for severe thunderstorms at night. 

Rain is likely to continue into Sunday with a High in the lower 70's, Low in lower 60's. 

Then skies will turn partly to mostly sunny again Monday with the High struggling to even reach 60 degrees, some sharply cooler air behind this front. The morning Low should be in the 40's. 

Tuesday and Wednesday look sunny. The High Tuesday near 60 again with a Low near 40. And then Wednesday the Low may start the day well down in the 30's, about mid-30's, and then we warm up to about the upper 60's or at least mid-60's for the afternoon. 

So more pleasant weather is on the way. This is an unusual pattern we're in, in the meantime. 



6:38 AM - And now we have ANOTHER possible tornado coming out of Hohenwald, TN. This is getting hard to believe. 


7 AM - But the warning was allowed to expire on time as the rotation weakened. 

And I'm signing off finally. 

 Flash Flood Warning

TNC041-149-159-189-031645-

/O.NEW.KOHX.FF.W.0032.250403T1043Z-250403T1645Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

Flash Flood Warning

National Weather Service Nashville TN

543 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025


The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a


* Flash Flood Warning for...

  Northwestern De Kalb County in middle Tennessee...

  Central Rutherford County in middle Tennessee...

  Southern Smith County in middle Tennessee...

  Southeastern Wilson County in middle Tennessee...


* Until 1145 AM CDT Thursday.


* At 543 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing

  heavy rain across the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or

  expected to begin shortly.


  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.


  SOURCE...Radar.


  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban

           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as

           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.


* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...

  Murfreesboro, Lebanon, Carthage, Smyrna, La Vergne, Nolensville,

  Watertown, Gordonsville, Walterhill, Hickman, South Carthage,

  Alexandria, Dowelltown, Liberty, Auburntown, Cedars Of Lebanon

  State Park, Milton, Lascassas, Tuckers Crossroads and Center Hill

  Lake.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


&&


LAT...LON 3581 8661 3583 8663 3585 8660 3591 8663

      3595 8662 3604 8651 3613 8630 3625 8623

      3629 8585 3625 8581 3617 8579 3617 8580

      3613 8581 3608 8577 3596 8603 3596 8615

      3592 8614 3570 8663 3579 8663


FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED


$$


LaRosa

Flash Flood Warning

TNC055-117-119-149-187-031645-

/O.NEW.KOHX.FF.W.0031.250403T1040Z-250403T1645Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

Flash Flood Warning

National Weather Service Nashville TN

540 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025


The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a


* Flash Flood Warning for...

  Northwestern Giles County in middle Tennessee...

  Northwestern Marshall County in middle Tennessee...

  Maury County in middle Tennessee...

  West Central Rutherford County in middle Tennessee...

  Southern Williamson County in middle Tennessee...


* Until 1145 AM CDT Thursday.


* At 540 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing

  heavy rain across the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or

  expected to begin shortly.


  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.


  SOURCE...Radar.


  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban

           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as

           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.


* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...

  Franklin, Columbia, Spring Hill, Nolensville, Mount Pleasant,

  Thompson`s Station, Eagleville, I-65 East Of Columbia, Santa Fe,

  Culleoka, Williamsport and Triune.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


&&


LAT...LON 3572 8723 3579 8722 3590 8692 3594 8662

      3570 8662 3570 8664 3568 8664 3568 8678

      3558 8677 3539 8693 3541 8721 3543 8721

      3544 8723 3543 8723 3543 8724 3572 8725


FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED


$$


LaRosa

Flash Flood Warning

TNC081-099-101-119-135-181-031600-

/O.NEW.KOHX.FF.W.0030.250403T1007Z-250403T1600Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

Flash Flood Warning

National Weather Service Nashville TN

507 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025


The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a


* Flash Flood Warning for...

  Southeastern Hickman County in middle Tennessee...

  Northern Lawrence County in middle Tennessee...

  Lewis County in middle Tennessee...

  Southwestern Maury County in middle Tennessee...

  Southern Perry County in middle Tennessee...

  Northern Wayne County in middle Tennessee...


* Until 1100 AM CDT.


* At 507 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing

  heavy rain across the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or

  expected to begin shortly.


  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.


  SOURCE...Radar.


  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban

           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as

           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.


* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...

  Hohenwald, Waynesboro, Mount Pleasant, Summertown, Clifton,

  Kimmins, Flatwoods, Gordonsburg, Henryville and Hampshire.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


&&


LAT...LON 3545 8804 3547 8803 3549 8798 3551 8797

      3554 8798 3578 8723 3543 8723 3514 8798

      3530 8798 3530 8802 3533 8802 3535 8801

      3537 8801 3537 8802 3539 8803 3539 8799

      3541 8797 3543 8803


FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED


$$


LaRosa

Flash Flood Warning

TNC027-087-111-133-137-159-165-169-189-031545-

/O.NEW.KOHX.FF.W.0029.250403T0947Z-250403T1545Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

Flash Flood Warning

National Weather Service Nashville TN

447 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025


The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a


* Flash Flood Warning for...

  Clay County in middle Tennessee...

  Central Jackson County in middle Tennessee...

  Macon County in middle Tennessee...

  Northwestern Overton County in middle Tennessee...

  Northwestern Pickett County in middle Tennessee...

  Northern Smith County in middle Tennessee...

  East Central Sumner County in middle Tennessee...

  Trousdale County in middle Tennessee...

  Northeastern Wilson County in middle Tennessee...


* Until 1045 AM CDT.


* At 447 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing

  heavy rain across the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or

  expected to begin shortly.


  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.


  SOURCE...Radar.


  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban

           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as

           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.


* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...

  Lafayette, Carthage, Celina, Gainesboro, Hartsville, Red Boiling

  Springs, South Carthage, Whitleyville, Pleasant Shade, Moss, Dixon

  Springs, Standing Stone State Park, Dickerson Chapel Recreation

  Area and Dale Hollow Lake.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


&&


LAT...LON 3645 8628 3664 8615 3661 8551 3663 8521

      3653 8516 3628 8583 3624 8623 3634 8630


FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED


$$


LaRosa

Flash Flood Warning

TNC037-149-165-187-189-031530-

/O.NEW.KOHX.FF.W.0028.250403T0927Z-250403T1530Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

Flash Flood Warning

National Weather Service Nashville TN

427 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025


The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a


* Flash Flood Warning for...

  Southeastern Davidson County in middle Tennessee...

  Northwestern Rutherford County in middle Tennessee...

  Southeastern Sumner County in middle Tennessee...

  Northeastern Williamson County in middle Tennessee...

  Northwestern Wilson County in middle Tennessee...


* Until 1030 AM CDT Thursday.


* At 427 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing

  heavy rain across the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or

  expected to begin shortly.


  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.


  SOURCE...Radar.


  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban

           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as

           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.


* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...

  Franklin, Lebanon, Hendersonville, Smyrna, Brentwood, La Vergne,

  Mount Juliet, Nolensville, Forest Hills, Oak Hill, Belle Meade,

  Lakewood, Rural Hill, Hermitage, Antioch, Belinda City, Berry

  Hill, Percy Priest Lake, Green Hill and Gladeville.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


&&


LAT...LON 3636 8628 3635 8628 3635 8627 3633 8626

      3631 8627 3630 8626 3630 8625 3624 8622

      3613 8629 3604 8650 3593 8662 3589 8693

      3603 8695 3630 8653


FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED


$$


LaRosa

Flash Flood Warning

TNC021-037-111-147-165-189-031415-

/O.NEW.KOHX.FF.W.0027.250403T0808Z-250403T1415Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

Flash Flood Warning

National Weather Service Nashville TN

308 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025


The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a


* Flash Flood Warning for...

  East Central Cheatham County in middle Tennessee...

  Central Davidson County in middle Tennessee...

  Northwestern Macon County in middle Tennessee...

  Southeastern Robertson County in middle Tennessee...

  Sumner County in middle Tennessee...

  Northwestern Wilson County in middle Tennessee...


* Until 915 AM CDT Thursday.


* At 308 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing

  heavy rain across the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or

  expected to begin shortly.


  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.


  SOURCE...Radar.


  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban

           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as

           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.


* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...

  Gallatin, Nashville, Madison, Hendersonville, Goodlettsville,

  White House, Millersville, Greenbrier, Forest Hills, Coopertown,

  Belle Meade, Lakewood, Westmoreland, Ridgetop, Cross Plains,

  Portland, Old Hickory, Joelton, Bellevue and Orlinda.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


&&


LAT...LON 3639 8693 3644 8672 3664 8657 3663 8656

      3665 8651 3664 8614 3648 8621 3649 8624

      3645 8624 3645 8627 3636 8627 3630 8652

      3605 8691 3605 8693 3624 8699


FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED


$$


LaRosa

Flash Flood Warning

TNC021-037-043-081-119-187-031400-

/O.NEW.KOHX.FF.W.0026.250403T0757Z-250403T1400Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

Flash Flood Warning

National Weather Service Nashville TN

257 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025


The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a


* Flash Flood Warning for...

  Southeastern Cheatham County in middle Tennessee...

  Southwestern Davidson County in middle Tennessee...

  Southeastern Dickson County in middle Tennessee...

  Northeastern Hickman County in middle Tennessee...

  North Central Maury County in middle Tennessee...

  Northwestern Williamson County in middle Tennessee...


* Until 900 AM CDT Thursday.


* At 257 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing

  heavy rain across the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or

  expected to begin shortly.


  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.


  SOURCE...Radar.


  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban

           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as

           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.


* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...

  Franklin, Dickson, Ashland City, White Bluff, Kingston Springs,

  Pegram, Burns, Fairview, Bellevue, Natchez Trace At Highway 96,

  Leipers Fork, Bon Aqua and Primm Springs.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


&&


LAT...LON 3619 8716 3625 8698 3613 8691 3590 8692

      3578 8723 3597 8735 3610 8744


FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED


$$


LaRosa

Flash Flood Warning

TNC043-081-085-135-031315-

/O.NEW.KOHX.FF.W.0025.250403T0721Z-250403T1315Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

Flash Flood Warning

National Weather Service Nashville TN

221 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025


The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a


* Flash Flood Warning for...

  Southwestern Dickson County in middle Tennessee...

  Hickman County in middle Tennessee...

  Southern Humphreys County in middle Tennessee...

  Perry County in middle Tennessee...


* Until 815 AM CDT.


* At 221 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing

  heavy rain across the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or

  expected to begin shortly.


  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.


  SOURCE...Radar.


  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban

           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as

           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.


* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...

  Dickson, Centerville, Linden, Hurricane Mills, Lobelville,

  Bucksnort, Pinewood, Pleasantville, Nunnelly, I-40 Near The

  Tennessee River, Lyles, Bon Aqua, Mousetail Landing State Park and

  Primm Springs.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


&&


LAT...LON 3555 8800 3562 8804 3568 8802 3570 8803

      3572 8803 3576 8799 3578 8798 3583 8797

      3588 8794 3593 8793 3594 8793 3611 8743

      3592 8727 3580 8722 3577 8723 3553 8798


FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED


$$


LaRosa

Flash Flood Warning

TNC021-043-083-085-125-147-031215-

/O.NEW.KOHX.FF.W.0024.250403T0614Z-250403T1215Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

Flash Flood Warning

National Weather Service Nashville TN

114 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025


The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a


* Flash Flood Warning for...

  Cheatham County in middle Tennessee...

  Northern Dickson County in middle Tennessee...

  Southeastern Houston County in middle Tennessee...

  Central Humphreys County in middle Tennessee...

  Southeastern Montgomery County in middle Tennessee...

  Robertson County in middle Tennessee...


* Until 715 AM CDT Thursday.


* At 114 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing

  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 0.5 and 1.5 inches of

  rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are

  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected

  to begin shortly.


  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.


  SOURCE...Radar.


  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban

           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as

           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.


* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...

  Springfield, Dickson, Ashland City, Waverly, Camden, White House,

  Millersville, Greenbrier, Coopertown, New Johnsonville, Ridgetop,

  McEwen, Cross Plains, Pleasant View, Charlotte, Orlinda, Adams,

  Vanleer, Cedar Hill and Slayden.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the

dangers of flooding.


&&


LAT...LON 3594 8800 3598 8802 3609 8795 3634 8730

      3664 8711 3663 8656 3642 8671 3642 8675

      3637 8686 3639 8691 3633 8692 3625 8698

      3594 8788


FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED


$$


Holley

Flash Flood Warning

TNC043-083-085-125-161-031100-

/O.NEW.KOHX.FF.W.0023.250403T0507Z-250403T1100Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

Flash Flood Warning

National Weather Service Nashville TN

1207 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025


The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a


* Flash Flood Warning for...

  Northwestern Dickson County in middle Tennessee...

  Houston County in middle Tennessee...

  Northwestern Humphreys County in middle Tennessee...

  Montgomery County in middle Tennessee...

  Stewart County in middle Tennessee...


* Until 600 AM CDT.


* At 1207 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing

  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 0.5 and 1.5 inches of

  rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are

  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected

  to begin shortly.


  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.


  SOURCE...Radar.


  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban

           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as

           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.


* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...

  Clarksville, Camden, Dover, Erin, Tennessee Ridge, Big Rock,

  Cumberland City, Slayden, Indian Mound, Palmyra, Woodlawn,

  Cunningham, Houston County Airport and Land Between The Lakes.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


&&


LAT...LON 3655 8803 3668 8807 3666 8785 3663 8785

      3663 8784 3664 8711 3662 8713 3661 8712

      3655 8714 3634 8731 3609 8795 3612 8792

      3616 8792 3622 8795 3631 8796 3640 8802

      3650 8805


FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED


$$


Mueller

Flash Flood Warning

MSC003-009-139-TNC005-023-039-069-071-077-109-113-031330-

/O.NEW.KMEG.FF.W.0029.250403T1030Z-250403T1330Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

Flash Flood Warning

National Weather Service Memphis TN

530 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025


The National Weather Service in Memphis has issued a


* Flash Flood Warning for...

  Northwestern Alcorn County in northeastern Mississippi...

  Eastern Benton County in northeastern Mississippi...

  Northern Tippah County in northeastern Mississippi...

  Southeastern Benton County in Tennessee...

  Chester County in Tennessee...

  Decatur County in Tennessee...

  Hardeman County in Tennessee...

  Hardin County in Tennessee...

  Henderson County in Tennessee...

  McNairy County in Tennessee...

  Southeastern Madison County in Tennessee...


* Until 830 AM CDT.


* At 530 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing

  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain

  have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are

  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected

  to begin shortly.


  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.


  SOURCE...Radar.


  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban

           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as

           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.


* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...

  Jackson, Corinth, Lexington, Savannah, Henderson, Bolivar, Ripley,

  Selmer, Chickasaw State Park, Big Hill Pond State Park, Chickasaw

  State Forest, Natchez Trace State Forest, Natchez Trace State

  Park, Whiteville, Parsons, Adamsville, Decaturville, Sardis,

  Silerton and Masseyville.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the

dangers of flooding.


&&


LAT...LON 3593 8793 3577 8798 3572 8803 3568 8802

      3562 8804 3552 8797 3549 8798 3545 8804

      3543 8803 3541 8797 3539 8799 3539 8803

      3535 8801 3530 8802 3530 8798 3519 8798

      3465 8917 3538 8917


FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED


$$


KRM

Flash Flood Warning

KYC047-219-031100-

/O.NEW.KPAH.FF.W.0022.250403T0453Z-250403T1100Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

Flash Flood Warning

National Weather Service Paducah KY

1153 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025


The National Weather Service in Paducah has issued a


* Flash Flood Warning for...

  Christian County in south central Kentucky...

  Todd County in south central Kentucky...


* Until 600 AM CDT Thursday.


* At 1153 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated

  thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between

  1 and 2 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up

  to 1 inch are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is

  ongoing or expected to begin shortly.


  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.


  SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.


  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban

           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as

           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.


* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...

  Hopkinsville, Oak Grove, Elkton, Fort Campbell, Clarksville,

  Guthrie, Pembroke, Crofton, Trenton, Lafayette, Allegre, Herndon,

  Clifty, Hawkins, Justice and Allensville.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


&&


LAT...LON 3702 8771 3715 8768 3710 8752 3713 8749

      3713 8737 3715 8733 3713 8733 3711 8731

      3711 8730 3708 8728 3705 8725 3704 8725

      3704 8712 3706 8705 3664 8706 3664 8769

      3697 8766 3700 8773


FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED


$$


DW


New Tornado Warning Including Nashville



 Again you have to respect the warnings tonight. The storms in this line have a history. This spun up quickly but still, take it seriously. 

3:39 - Sounds like places like Vanderbilt and downtown Nashville are in the path of this possible tornado. Really anywhere in the polygon should be sheltered. We can try to guess all night where a funnel might be in contact with the ground, but they draw these large polygons for a reason. 

3:40 - And here's another overlapping Tornado Warning polygon that does include Nashville but stretches down through Brentwood all the way down to Franklin and Nolensville. It is the wee dark hours of the morning, and we are relying on radar. So respect these warning polygons. Don't try to guess exactly where these messy velocity signatures are going. Just take shelter. 

3:43 - Northwest Alabama may start to see some issues within the next hour roughly. If that happens, I'll shift my focus closer to the home front. I just got carried away with these supercells that started in Southern Middle Tennessee but then tracked all the way across the state. 

3:45 - And we've got another tornadic supercell coming up on Centerville. 

3:50 - Here's a better look at that rotation near Centerville, looks a little Southeast of there. Moving Northeast. This storm does have a history. 

3:52 - The NWS Huntsville is watching this broken line of supercells carefully. Far Northwest Alabama could have some issues within the next hour or so. It's a close call. 

3:59 - And we've got warnings all the way from Gallatin back to Savannah, including overlapping tornado warnings for the city of Nashville. This is one crazy setup tonight. 


4:12 AM - And now the main storm of concern, a new Tornado Warning for Maury, Williamson, Hickman and Davidson Counties. 

4:14 - This is a broad polygon, everyone from Fairview to Santa Fe and Thompsons Station, certainly up to Franklin, get to your shelter and stay there. Remember to protect your head in your shelter area - helmet if you've got one, but if not, something like a pillow or some blankets to pull over you. Protect your body, especially your head. 

4:18 - In other areas we have Severe Thunderstorm and Flash Flood Warnings. Those are important too, but tonight I'm focusing on tornadoes. 


4:20 - This storm coming in the direction of Franklin is developing a hook echo. Take cover if in the path. Or call somebody in the path if you think they're not awake. Gotta' respect these storms tonight. Several tornadoes have been confirmed earlier with this same system. Which never seems to run out of fuel tonight. 

4:28 - The rotation has really broadened out and weakened. But if you're around Franklin, definitely be sheltered. Really anywhere in the polygon, wouldn't hurt to stay in a good safe place. Because this is a dangerous storm regardless of where a tornado may be trying to spin back up. It's tough to know that exactly at night sometimes anyway. 

4:32 - Got a couple severe thunderstorm warnings too. One is coming out of Nashville, storms stretching all the way up to LaFayette. 

The other is moving through Hohenwald and has potential for hail up to ping pong ball sized hail. 

4:35 - Some weak rotation at times in that storm coming out of Hohenwald.

4:38 - Got two new Tornado Warnings. Let's show both of them. 



The first is coming from Franklin toward Brentwood and Rural Hill.



And the other is that storm coming from Hohenwald. That rotation tightened up in a hurry! 

People in Columbia, Santa Fe, be sheltered for this. Mount Pleasant is on the edge of the polygon, good idea to be sheltered there too just to be safe. 

And ultimately this possible tornado is headed for places like Spring Hill, Thompsons Station, and/or Franklin. 

So everybody in the path, I'd get to shelter and just stay there until things settle down. There is a lot going on right now, and some of these rotations are spinning up really fast within this broken line. 


4:45 AM - Here's a good look at the southern polygon so you can see who's in and who's out. People in Spring Hill/Thompson's Station are just outside this polygon but need to either be sheltered or watching this closely and ready to shelter. 


4:46 - And here's a look at the northernmost polygon that just came out. Even in Brentwood on the edge of the polygon, I would be in shelter, because tornadoes are tough to pinpoint at night, and they can change direction quickly. Respect the polygon. You've heard it a thousand times, but it's a truism. 

4:48 - About 20 minutes ago in Fairview, public reports a tree that fell on a home and a car. 

By the way, don't try to drive through flood waters up here either, if you have to get up early to drive to work. And of course nobody should try to drive through these Tornado Warning areas. 


4:51 - That's a fairly impressive couplet moving into Maury County. 


4:53 - The rotation between LaVergne and Rural Hill has weakened some. 

But I'd still stay sheltered in these storm polygons. Whether it ends up being a tornado or "just" really strong winds and large hail, these storms look fairly dangerous. 


4:56 - It's tough to say if this is a debris signature, but it is co-located with the velocity couplet. I'd take this storm very seriously. 


4:58 - Certainly people in Santa Fe stay sheltered. But really respect the whole polygon. 


4:59 - And that Northern storm has been continued to the Northeast as a Severe Thunderstorm Warning, with a note that there is some rotation and that a tornado could quickly develop. But the main threat is thought to be damaging wind gusts to 60 mph and one-inch-diameter hail. 



5:01 AM - Rotation is weakening at the moment within the remaining Tornado Warning polygon, the one affecting Maury, Williamson, and Hickman Counties. 


5:04 - Even for that severe thunderstorm warning, I'd stay in a good safe place. It's been a long night, and unfortunately we don't see the end in sight. The surface boundary has stalled, and storms keep training over the same areas. That's why we're already seeing so many flash flood warnings. 

5:07 - More trees reported down in Fairview within past half hour. 



5:08 - The signs of rotation in this tornado-warned storm keep looking weaker, then looking stronger again. I'd play it safe and stay sheltered if in the path of this polygon. 

5:11 - New warning coming out - folks in Spring Hill, Thompson's Station, be sheltered if you weren't before. 


5:14 - There's your polygon. Columbia, Spring Hill, Thompsons Station, Santa Fe, Triune, be in shelter. Cover your head. 



5:21 - Rotation is very impressive. Not seeing any clear debris on radar, but this could be on the ground. It's hard to tell at night or early dark hours. Everyone in the path of this, stay sheltered. The reflectivity is trying to hook around some too. 

After Spring Hill and Thompsons Station this is headed to Triune. 


5:35 - Actually now it looks like it's headed more toward Eagleville. Like I keep saying, tornadoes can change direction quickly. Some interesting wind signatures with this one. Even if there's not a tornado, those look like some fierce winds that moved through Spring Hill and Thompson's Station. 

Spring Hill, Triune, Eaglesville, stay sheltered for this. 


5:46 - Ok folks in Spring Hill and T Station, it's past you, it's been extended as a Severe Thunderstorm Warning that clips Murfreesboro and Rural Hill. I guess Smyrna is more in the bullseye of this storm, which is still showing some rotation. Main threat is damaging winds and quarter-sized hail though. 


5:49 - No more tornado warnings except for a storm moving up into Kentucky, which is so far outside our jurisdiction here, going to hand it off to folks up there. Got a few severe thunderstorm warnings, but for now, I'm going to make a new post just to post all the Flash Flood Warnings. Because there are a lot of them. These storms have tracked over the same basic areas, and the amount of rain that has fallen is just crazy. 

Tornado Warning

TNC037-165-187-189-030900-

/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0035.250403T0833Z-250403T0900Z/


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

Tornado Warning

National Weather Service Nashville TN

333 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025


The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a


* Tornado Warning for...

  Davidson County in Middle Tennessee...

  Southwestern Sumner County in Middle Tennessee...

  North central Williamson County in Middle Tennessee...

  Northwestern Wilson County in Middle Tennessee...


* Until 400 AM CDT.


* At 333 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado

  was located over Belle Meade, or near Nashville, moving northeast

  at 45 mph.


  HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.


  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.


  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without

           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.

           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree

           damage is likely.


* This dangerous storm will be near...

  Nashville and Oak Hill around 340 AM CDT.

  Lakewood, Mount Juliet, Hendersonville, Hermitage, and Old Hickory

  around 350 AM CDT.


Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Green

Hill, Berry Hill, Percy Priest Lake, Whites Creek, and Bells Bend.


This includes the following highways...

 Interstate 40 between mile markers 195 and 229.

 Interstate 65 between mile markers 74 and 97.

 Interstate 24 between mile markers 40 and 59.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest

floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a

mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter

and protect yourself from flying debris.


&&


LAT...LON 3609 8644 3608 8649 3610 8652 3608 8652

      3609 8655 3607 8655 3599 8698 3621 8698

      3643 8648

TIME...MOT...LOC 0833Z 243DEG 41KT 3612 8688


TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED

MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN


$$


Mueller

Flash Flood Warnings (TN)

5:54 AM - The brown polygons are the flash flood warnings.  Looking at this severe thunderstorm warning (yellow-orange) that includes Murfre...