Hydrologic Outlook (TN)

 Hydrologic Outlook

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Hydrologic Outlook

National Weather Service Nashville TN

155 PM CST Tue Feb 11 2025

...There is an increased chance for flooding of area rivers this

weekend into early next week...

There is an increasing probability of widespread rainfall amounts

of 3 inches or more from Friday night through Sunday. This could

lead to flooding of rivers across Middle Tennessee. Some locations

may even reach moderate flood stage. Here are the rivers where any

location along the river has a chance to reach Action Stage, Minor

Flood Stage, or Moderate Flood Stage over the weekend and into

early next week:

Buffalo River -

    20% chance of reaching Moderate Flood Stage

    40% chance of reaching Minor Flood Stage

    70% chance of reaching Action Stage

Cumberland River Below Old Hickory Dam -

    <5% chance of reaching Moderate Flood Stage

    10% chance of reaching Minor Flood Stage

    100% chance of reaching Action Stage

Duck River Below Shelbyville -

    10% chance of reaching Major Flood Stage

    30% chance of reaching Moderate Flood Stage

    40% chance of reaching Minor Flood Stage

    70% chance of reaching Action Stage

Harpeth River between Franklin and Kingston Springs -

    20% chance of reaching Moderate Flood Stage

    30% chance of reaching Minor Flood Stage

    40% chance of reaching Action Stage

The saturated soils in place ahead of this event could lead to quick

rises in smaller creeks and streams as well, especially with any

strong thunderstorms Saturday afternoon and evening. This time of

year rainfall rates of 0.5 to 1.0 inches per hour are enough to

cause flash flooding, and overwhelm low lying and poor draining

areas.

Stay tuned for additional updates and information to be prepared for

this potentially significant flooding event.

$$

LaRosa