FORECAST:
Sunday (High 56, Low 47): Partly to mostly sunny and breezy. Isolated showers may linger, especially in the morning.
Monday (High 55, Low 42): Partly to mostly cloudy during the day. Rain showers are likely at night.
Tuesday (High 63, Low 48): Rain. May be heavy at times.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
Wednesday (High 62, Low 46): Rain.
Thursday (High 57, Low 44): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers.
Friday (High 60, Low 34): Mostly sunny.
Saturday (High 67, Low 49): Rain likely - thunderstorms possible.
PRONÓSTICO:
Domingo (Máxima 56, Mínima 47): Parcialmente a mayormente soleado y ventoso. Pueden persistir lluvias aisladas, especialmente por la mañana.
Lunes (Máxima 55, Mínima 42): Parcialmente a mayormente nublado durante el día. Es probable que haya lluvias por la noche.
Martes (Máxima 63, Mínima 48): Lluvia. Puede ser intensa a veces.
PERSPECTIVA EXTENDIDA:
Miércoles (Máxima 62, Mínima 46): Lluvia.
Jueves (Máxima 57, Mínima 44): Parcialmente nublado con un 30 % de probabilidad de lluvias.
Viernes (Máxima 60, Mínima 34): Mayormente soleado.
Sábado (Máxima 67, Mínima 49): Probable lluvia; posibles tormentas eléctricas.
There were a couple tornadoes near Knoxville, TN Thursday night, one of which destroyed two mobile homes and killed two people.
Today was Rocket City Weather Fest in Huntsville, but it almost totally escaped my notice, because the National Weather Service in Huntsville doesn't really advertise much on their webpage these days. I didn't remember until I saw a broadcast meteorologist, think it was from WHNT-19 (but I honestly forget who is working where these days sometimes, watch Birmingham stations more often, if I watch), post about it on Twitter/X. But that's a great event they have every year at UAH. I used to go to it when I lived up there.
Even though it's only being advertised on Twitter/X, here is a look at the SKYWARN schedule for the Huntsville area, covers most of North Alabama and part of Southern Middle Tennessee. The National Weather Service in Birmingham (covers much of Central Alabama) has a physical class coming up in Gadsden this Tuesday and several online classes. These are free to take, so if you've never taken storm spotter training, you are strongly encouraged to try one out. Even the people who teach the online classes make it enjoyable. The in-person classes are usually better if you can make it to one.
And the National Weather Service in Nashville is holding Severe Weather Awareness Day on February 22.
It may vary and include more of the Winter months if you take all of South Central/South Alabama into account, but generally speaking, the severe weather season for North Alabama and up into Tennessee is March, April, and May - April usually being the peak of it. And then we have a secondary peak in November. So we are close to our primary severe weather season. That's why they hold these classes and other events when they do.
The latest episode of the Weatherbrains podcast was a great discussion of the March 18, 1925 "Tri-State Tornado". So it's been nearly 100 years since that happened, anniversary coming up next month.
DISCUSSION:
It was variably cloudy and breezy in the Tennessee Valley today. The High in Cullman was 73, and the Low was 52. Jasper had a High of 77 and Low of 48. They also had some drizzle and mist early this morning. Haleyville saw a High of 73 and Low of 56.
Elsewhere around the area, Fort Payne had a High of 74 and Low of 44. Gadsden had a High of 78 and Low of 46. Decatur had a High of 74 and Low of 47. Huntsville had a High of 73 and Low of 50. Muscle Shoals had a High of 75 and Low of 52. Tupelo had a High of 80 and Low of 55. Memphis had a High of 76 and Low of 58. Nashville actually saw some light rain about midday and were more overcast than a lot of these other sites today, and they had a High of 71, Low of 44 today.
We've got a line of showers about to Lawrenceburg stretching up to just south of Columbia and Murfreesboro tonight. Writing this about 7:50 PM.
We are in a pattern of zonal upper-level wind flow and now have our quasi-stationary front located to our North again, stretching mainly across the Ohio River Valley.
Most of our rain showers will be over with after tonight. We'll see a Low in about the 45-48 range.
Overall tomorrow looks partly to mostly sunny and breezy with a High of about 55-58. Could see an isolated shower or two lingering, especially in the morning. That cold air will revisit us along with a good breeze as the front moves South of our area.
During the day Monday, we should have partly to mostly cloudy skies, little or no rain, a High in the mid-50's and Low in the lower 40's. But Monday night will start our period of rain, which may become heavy at times, as more moisture comes this way from the West/Southwest.
Tuesday is just going to be a rainy day with a High in the lower 60's and Low in the upper 40's.
And it's basically the same thing for Wednesday, rain-cooling might ease the Low temperature down more toward the mid-40's.
Tuesday and Wednesday, the Weather Prediction Center has already outlooked the Tennessee Valley, especially on the North Alabama side, for some risk for flash/river flooding issues, or technically they just call it excessive rainfall. So that's something to keep an eye on.
Remember to never cross water that covers a roadway. You won't know how deep it is until you're in it, and water rescues are a gamble. Crossing water that covers a bridge or a road is putting yourself and whoever is trying to rescue you in danger. Please don't do it.
The American model is now showing most of the rain ending by midday Thursday, and while I'm not showing it here, a peek at the European model data shows the same basic look here.
There's a good look at where the actual cold front boundary is expected to be even Thursday morning. Those raw model graphics above were valid at Noon Thursday, this is at 6 AM (12Z).
So temperatures will be lower behind the front, High in the 50's, Low in the 40's. And the chance of rain will be lower, about 30%.
Friday should be mostly sunny, and we can probably give the rain chances a rest for just the one day here. High should be near 60, Low near 30 or so.
Then rain is likely again on Saturday, could see a thunderstorm or two. Highs should be in the upper 60's and Lows rebounding to at least the mid-40's but probably upper 40's.
We could see rainfall totals of 3-5 inches or greater during this forecast period. So again, if you live in a flood-prone area, please be careful. And wherever you live, avoid crossing water that covers a roadway. Turn around. Don't drown.
The silver lining is that some places around the region are still having drought conditions, and this week's weather should take care of that.
CHATTER:
Stormy and Salem got their Fancy Feast for the weekend, might get Sheba tomorrow night if they behave.
And that's all I feel like chattering about tonight.
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