Saturday, October 19, 2024

Staying Sunny with Mild Temperatures

FORECAST:

Sunday (High 77, Low 40): Sunny and cool. Patchy fog possible in the morning. 

Monday (High 80, Low 44): Sunny. Mild.

Tuesday (High 79, Low 47): Sunny. Mild.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:

Wednesday (High 80, Low 49): Mostly sunny.

Thursday (High 78, Low 52): Mostly sunny.

Friday (High 79, Low 46): Sunny.

Saturday (High 80, Low 50): Mostly sunny. 

DISCUSSION:





We had a sunny day in Cullman with a High of 73 and a Low of 41. There was some occasional breeziness, but most of the day, the winds stayed pretty calm. Jasper had a High of 75 and a Low of 36, talk about a temperature gradient. And Haleyville had a High of 73 and a Low of 37 today. 

What got my attention was the tropics. so we'll start there. 


We have Tropical Storm Nadine, which has already made landfall at Belize City this morning. 


It's been sort of a short-fused system, but it will continue to bring heavy rains and gusty winds down that way. 

And of more interest since it is stronger and more of a surprise at how fast it's strengthened, is Hurricane Oscar

Which has prompted a Hurricane Warning for the Turks, Caicos, and Southeastern Bahamas; and a Hurricane Watch for eastern parts of Cuba. 



This is a very small hurricane, and its winds are expected to peak at about 90 miles per hour before it turns back to the Northeast and weakens to a tropical storm. So it's kind of interesting, this system that came all the way from the West Coast of Africa a week or so ago has been full of surprises. As of a day or two ago, nobody thought it was going to develop into anything anymore. And then in the space of one day, it ramped up into a hurricane. You can't trust these anomalously warm waters this year. 

Nonetheless, it is expected to dissipate over open waters by Thursday. 



We'll remain under a ridge of high pressure in the Southeast tomorrow. We may see some patchy fog in the morning, but overall another sunny day, may not see a cloud in the sky. We'll see a High of about 77 and a Low of about 40. 



Then Monday looks sunny again, High near 80, Low about 43-45 range. 



Then on Tuesday, that low pressure system in the Desert Southwest is expected to move up into the Great Lakes region and morph into more of a shortwave trough. Our weather locally will stay roughly the same, High in the upper 70's, though the Low temperatures will rebound into upper 40's. 



Wednesday our winds aloft will be firmly from the Northwest again, high pressure at the surface. Skies stay sunny, High of about 80, Low near 50. 


Then on Thursday we actually get a dry cold front. Might mention a few clouds Wednesday/Thursday to account for this. Not expecting rain. 



This front does not look particularly strong, and we can expect a High in the upper 70's and a Low in the lower 50's. 



Looks like a clear sky and High in the upper 70's again for Friday, the Low dropping back into the 40's, maybe even mid-40's for many of us. 



The high pressure starts to move off to the Northeast by next Saturday, but skies should stay mostly sunny with Highs getting back up near 80 and Lows near 50. 


No rain expected around here any time soon. This is typically our calmest time of the year around here. 

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