FORECAST:
Sunday (High 84, Low 53): Mostly sunny. Breezy at times.
Columbus Day (High 70, Low 54): Mostly sunny. Breezy at times.
Tuesday (High 65, Low 45): Mostly sunny. Cold in the morning, cool in the afternoon.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
Wednesday (High 63, Low 37): Sunny.
Thursday (High 67, Low 35): Sunny.
Friday (High 70, Low 38): Sunny.
Saturday (High 74, Low 43): Mostly sunny.
PRONÓSTICO:
Domingo (Máxima 84, Mínima 53): Mayormente soleado. A veces con brisa.
Día de la Raza (Máxima 70, Mínima 54): Mayormente soleado. A veces con brisa.
Martes (Máxima 65, Mínima 45): Mayormente soleado. Frío por la mañana, fresco por la tarde.
PERSPECTIVA EXTENDIDA:
Miércoles (Máxima 63, Mínima 37): Soleado.
Jueves (Máxima 67, Mínima 35): Soleado.
Viernes (Máxima 70, Mínima 38): Soleado.
Sábado (Máxima 74, Mínima 43): Mayormente soleado.
NOTES:
There are still a couple of SKYWARN classes left this season, so if you want to learn more about severe weather, please take one; they are free.
In light of the recent hate mail James Spann has gotten just for telling the truth about whacko conspiracy theories (to do with hurricanes), I encourage people to check out the two recent podcasts he did with Bill Murray, in which they and the rest of the panel discussed Hurricane Helene and then were getting ready for Hurricane Milton. It is a wonderful look behind the scenes at how people try to coordinate things and protect people when these major storms happen. Mike Seidel and Jim Cantore from the Weather Channel were on the more recent of the two shows.
By the way, if anybody thinks I can control the weather, please leave me a comment, or send an e-mail, and we'll see (that's the secret government agents, voodoo-practicing migrants, two cats named Salem and Stormy, and me . . . teehee) what we can do about sending a hurricane your way. If that's what you really want. If demands are too high, you might have to settle for a tornado in November. Patience can be a virtue. But I can't even tell you how glad I'd be to hear from you.
Tomato sandwiches are underrated these days.
I bet some people who lived through the reality of these recent hurricanes are learning to appreciate such simple things again.
Jasper had a High of 81 and a Low of 46. Haleyville had a High of 79 (at least that's the current temperature, and things are about to start cooling off, so I'm going with the odds this will be the High) and a Low of 48 today.
Not much rain in the Southeast region. There are some showers down around Miami, but most of the rest of us aren't even seeing much in the way of clouds. High pressure has firmly settled over the region.
This forecast just isn't all that complicated, and I'm not going to show a ton of raw model output this time.
Basically we have a dry cold front on the way, and things are going to cool off even more next week because of that. Here is how it breaks down day by day.
Tomorrow will be mostly sunny and start the day about 53 degrees. The High temperature is probably between what the GFS MOS says (87) and what the NAM MOS guidance says (82), so let's say about 84-85. And I'd trend lower in this pattern, so maybe more like 83-84 as an average around here. I'll go with 84 for Cullman.
Then for Monday, mostly sunny skies again, maybe a few fair-weather clouds, but no rain expected with this front. The morning Low probably about 53-55 range, the daytime High probably only 70-72. We could have a decent Northerly breeze both days. And Monday is Columbus Day, as you might have noticed by so many places being closed, but most people who work regular jobs like groceries or restaurants still having to work. But hey, some of these people who get the day off definitely earn it. Ever tried working at a post office?
Then the really dry, cooler air comes in more on Tuesday, plenty of sunshine but a High only getting up to the mid-60's, Low in the mid-40's.
And then it gets "better" as the high pressure system behind this dry front settles in for the extended period.
We could actually see some frost on Wednesday morning. Sunny skies, High in the lower 60's, but starting the day in only the upper 30's.
Sunny skies again on Thursday, looks like the High rebounds to the upper 60's, but the morning Low may actually dip into the mid-30's. So again the concern for some frost.
Still sunny on Friday with a High rebounding to about 70, the Low near 40, but I'm guessing still upper 30's for most of us.
And next Saturday, mostly sunny skies still expected, a High in the lower 70's, the Low in the lower 40's. A few places might see mid-40's.
The tropics have quieted down for a while, thank goodness. Even though the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Leslie are still showing up on the map here, the system has dissipated of of 3 PM GMT, which is 10 AM CDT. And I'm writing this after 5 PM CDT.
There is a low pressure system producing showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles West of the Cabo Verde Islands. It is expected to continue to move West/Southwest, and the waters it is moving through are not particularly conducive to it developing into a tropical cyclone. You always have to watch them this time of year, but there are no immediate concerns with this one. The risk of it developing into a tropical cyclone is low, about 30%, over the next week.
I heard on the radio today that some people have spread the rumor online that there is already a Hurricane Nadine. But as the National Weather Service mentioned on the air, that is ultra-fabricated crapola. I wish I could take credit for such a nice-sounding phrase to skewer such nonsense, but someone else came up with it. I just remembered it.
No, the tropics are quieter now than they have been in a while. And nothing jumps out as an immediate concern over the next week or so.
If we see any rain over the next week, it'll probably be up along or North of the Tennessee border. And I question whether even that is going to happen, those very light amounts up that way.
While the weather is quiet, I'm probably taking some time off doing this thing. Those hurricanes sort of dragged me back into it for a while.
6:19 PM - Footnote - Came across a story about the damage surveys that are still ongoing in Florida for the tornadoes spawned out ahead of Hurricane Milton. Even though some of these tornadoes were unusually damaging for storms coming out of tropical rain bands, it looks like the mobile homes were tossed and destroyed, while the site-built homes had minor to moderate damage, and people were able to survive in them. Next month is often a secondary tornado season for us around here, so please keep that in mind. Plan to be able to shelter in a site-built house or other strong building on days we have a tornado threat. Not every November ends up being like that, and some years, I've seen an event come later, usually December. But it is well worth the effort to plan to be able to shelter in a central room on the lowest level of a sturdy house instead of a mobile home or a house sitting up on blocks. Some of these tornadoes were rated E/F-3 and had a wedge shape (unusual for tropical tornadoes), and people were still able to survive just by taking cover in a sturdy house anchored to the ground instead of staying in a mobile home. That's the bottom line with watching these storms, is to protect lives. So I thought I'd pass that along as a reminder.
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