Looks like this has actually issued around the time I was posting the last update, but for some reason was not showing up in my browser until later. It came and went, and now it is back. So I'm posting it.
This thing already has winds of 150 mph. That is a very significant hurricane. Even people along the Northern Yucatan Peninsula want to take this seriously while it grazes them. Before it reaches Florida, it will encounter some vertical wind shear, so the intensity may fluctuate up and down. It does have that wind shear that could weaken it at times, but it also has historic-level warm Gulf waters that allow for rapid intensification like we've seen here. Regardless of its exact strength at the time of landfall, I think it is a safe bet that this will be a major hurricane when it hits the Florida Peninsula tomorrow night or Wednesday morning, capable of significant damage, and very much a threat to life.
218
WTNT64 KNHC 071312 CCA
TCUAT4
Hurricane Milton Tropical Cyclone Update...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024
805 AM CDT Mon Oct 07 2024
Corrected distance from Tampa
...MILTON RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
Data from both Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Milton has
strengthened to a category 4 hurricane. The maximum sustained
winds are estimated to be 150 mph (240 km/h). Milton is a category
4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Data
from the aircraft also indicate that the minimum pressure has
fallen to 940 mb (27.76 inches).
These changes will be reflected in the normal 10 AM CDT (1500 UTC)
advisory.
SUMMARY OF 805 AM CDT...1305 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.7N 92.0W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM W OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 735 MI...1185 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 115 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES
$$
Forecaster Brown/Blake
733
WTNT74 KNHC 071307
TUSAT4
Huracán Milton Ciclón Tropical Actualización
Centro Nacional de Huracanes del SNM Miami FL AL142024
805 AM CDT lunes 07 de octubre de 2024
...MILTON SE INTENSIFICA RÁPIDAMENTE EN UN HURACÁN DE CATEGORÍA 4...
Los datos de ambos aviones Cazadores de Huracanes indican que Milton
se ha fortalecido a un huracán de categoría 4. Se estima que los
vientos máximos sostenidos son de 150 mph (240 km/h). Milton es un
huracán de categoría 4 en la Escala de Viento de Huracán de Saffir-
Simpson. Los datos del avión también indican que la presión mínima
ha caído a 940 mb (27.76 pulgadas).
Estos cambios se reflejarán en la advertencia normal de 10 AM CDT
(1500 UTC).
RESUMEN DE 805 AM CDT...1305 UTC...INFORMACIÓN
----------------------------------------------
UBICACIÓN...21.7N 92.0W
ALREDEDOR 150 MI...240 KM O DE PROGRESO MÉXICO
ALREDEDOR 735 MI...11185 KM SW DE TAMPA FLORIDA
VIENTOS MÁXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...ESE O 115 GRADOS A 8 MPH...13 KM/H
PRESIÓN CENTRAL MÍNIMA...940 MB...27.76 PULGADAS
$$
Pronosticador Brown/Blake
*** Este producto ha sido procesado automáticamente utilizando un
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Servicio Nacional de Meteorología no puede garantizar la precisión
del texto convertido. De haber alguna duda, el texto en inglés es
siempre la versión autorizada. ***
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