Friday, August 2, 2024

Tropical Storm Warning (FL)




 URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

1113 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


GMZ836-856-876-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-

Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-

Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-

1113 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and

  seas 6 to 9 ft.


* WHERE...Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound, Coastal waters

  from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM and Waters from

  Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM.


* WHEN...Tropical Storm force winds possible from Saturday

  evening until Sunday afternoon.


* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous seas which

  could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.

Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the

vessel for severe conditions.


&&


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ165-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Coastal Lee-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Cape Coral

    - Captiva

    - Sanibel


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect property should be

          completed as soon as possible. Prepare for limited wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: through Monday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of

          greater than 3 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should

          be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from

          storm surge flooding.

        - ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture

          outside.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding

        - Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Miami FL

1116 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


GMZ656-657-676-031130-

/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM-

Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM-

Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-

1116 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and seas

  4 to 7 ft.


* WHERE...Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out

  20 NM, Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL

  out 20 NM and Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from

  20 to 60 NM.


* WHEN...Tropical Storm force winds possible from Saturday

  afternoon until Saturday evening.


* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous seas which

  could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.

Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the

vessel for severe conditions.


&&


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Miami FL  AL042024

1102 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ069-031115-

/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Coastal Collier County-

1102 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Naples

    - Marco Island

    - Everglades City


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be

          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for up to 2 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: Saturday evening until early Monday

          morning


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot

          above ground.

        - PREPARE: Complete preparations for storm surge flooding,

          especially in low-lying vulnerable areas, before conditions

          become unsafe.

        - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

          your area.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along

          immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas

          farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.

        - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become

          overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous

          in places where surge water covers the road.

        - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes,

          mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.

        - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks,

          boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from

          moorings.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Ditches and canals may quickly become swollen with swift

          currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, mobile

          homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops

          and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked

          over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats

          pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/mfl

    - www.colliergov.net

    - For storm information call 2-1-1


$$

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL

1100 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico


Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average

height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be

more than twice the significant wave height.


GMZ057-031500-

NE Gulf N of 26N E of 87W-

1100 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...


.OVERNIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers

and thunderstorms late.

.SAT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt S of 27N, and NE to E 10 kt

elsewhere. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.

.SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 27N, NE

to E winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming N 35 to 40 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft,

building to 10 to 15 ft. Elsewhere, E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt,

becoming NE 25 to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, building to 8 to 12 ft.

Numerous squalls and thunderstorms.

.SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 27N, W to NW

winds 40 to 45 kt, becoming W 20 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 17 ft,

subsiding to 8 to 10 ft. Elsewhere, NW winds 40 to 50 kt. Seas

11 to 18 ft. Numerous squalls and thunderstorms.

.SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S of 27N, SW

winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Elsewhere, W winds 45 to 50

kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft, subsiding to

6 to 9 ft in mixed swell. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.

.MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W winds 10 kt. Seas

3 to 4 ft.

.MON NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.

.TUE...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.

.TUE NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.

.WED...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

.WED NIGHT...SW to W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.


$$


000

WTNT44 KNHC 030250

TCDAT4


Tropical Depression Four Discussion Number   3

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL042024

1100 PM EDT Fri Aug 02 2024


Shortwave infrared satellite imagery, Cuban radar data, and surface 

observations from Cuba and the Cayman Islands suggest that the 

disturbance has developed a closed circulation, and the center is 

located just off the south coast of Cuba.  Deep convection is still 

a bit fragmented, but there has been a persistent burst near the 

estimated center since earlier this afternoon.  The wind and 

pressure field could still be a little elongated within the 

southern semicircle, but overall the system appears to have enough 

organization to now be designated as a tropical depression.  The 

initial intensity remains 25 kt based on earlier observations.


The depression has not begun to turn yet, and the initial motion is 

west-northwestward, or 285/15 kt.  A turn toward the northwest and 

then north is expected over the weekend due to a break in the 

subtropical ridge caused by a trough over the eastern United 

States.  Since the system has not started to turn yet, this has 

caused all of the track guidance to shift west, and the updated NHC 

forecast is a bit west of the previous forecast along the eastern 

edge of the main cluster of models.  It is important to note that 

because of the forecast track being parallel to the west coast of 

Florida, the location and timing of a potential landfall cannot be 

pinned down at this time.  One additional significant change to the 

forecast is that the models seem to be showing the aforementioned 

trough leaving the cyclone behind early next week, which causes a 

much slower motion while the system is near the coasts of Georgia 

and South Carolina.  As a result, the new NHC forecast is notably 

slower than the previous forecast, particularly on days 4 and 5.


The westward shift to the track forecast now also keeps the system 

over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico longer, giving the 

system additional time to potentially strengthen.  In fact, the 

SHIPS guidance and all of the regional hurricane models show the 

cyclone reaching hurricane strength before reaching land in the Big 

Bend region of Florida in 2 to 3 days.  As a result, the new NHC 

forecast brings the intensity to 60 kt at 60 hours as the system is 

reaching land, but if model trends continue, it's possible that 

future forecasts could explicit show the system becoming a 

hurricane before it reaches land.  The intensity forecast is more 

uncertain on days 3 through 5 due depending on if the center moves 

back offshore or stays inland over the southeastern United States.



Key Messages:


1. Heavy rainfall may result in locally considerable flash and urban 

flooding across portions of Florida and the coastal areas of the 

Southeast U.S. this weekend through Wednesday. Isolated river 

flooding will also be possible.


2. Tropical storm conditions are expected Saturday night within the

Tropical Storm Warning area in southwest Florida from East Cape

Sable to Boca Grande and on the Dry Tortugas. Tropical storm 

conditions are possible in the remainder of the Florida Keys on 

Saturday and along the Florida west coast north of Boca Grande to 

Suwannee River Saturday night and Sunday where a Tropical Storm 

Watch is in effect.


3. There is a possibility of life-threatening inundation from storm

surge along portions of the west coast of Florida from Bonita Beach

to Suwannee River, including Tampa Bay and Charlotte Harbor, where a

Storm Surge Watch is in effect.


4. Impacts from storm surge, strong winds, and heavy rains are

possible elsewhere in Florida and along the southeast coast of the

United States from Georgia to North Carolina through the middle of

next week, and interests in those areas should continue to monitor

the progress of this system.  Additional watches and warnings will

likely be required on Saturday.



FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS


INIT  03/0300Z 21.4N  79.7W   25 KT  30 MPH

 12H  03/1200Z 22.6N  81.4W   30 KT  35 MPH...OVER CUBA

 24H  04/0000Z 24.6N  83.3W   35 KT  40 MPH...OVER WATER

 36H  04/1200Z 26.6N  84.1W   45 KT  50 MPH

 48H  05/0000Z 28.4N  84.0W   55 KT  65 MPH

 60H  05/1200Z 29.9N  83.4W   60 KT  70 MPH...INLAND

 72H  06/0000Z 30.8N  82.5W   40 KT  45 MPH...INLAND

 96H  07/0000Z 31.8N  80.9W   45 KT  50 MPH...OVER WATER

120H  08/0000Z 32.8N  79.4W   55 KT  65 MPH


$$

Forecaster Berg


000

WTNT34 KNHC 030249

TCPAT4


BULLETIN

Tropical Depression Four Advisory Number   3

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL042024

1100 PM EDT Fri Aug 02 2024


...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OFF THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA...

...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF

OF MEXICO BY LATE SATURDAY...



SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION

-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...21.4N 79.7W

ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM S OF CAIBARIEN CUBA

ABOUT 260 MI...415 KM SSE OF KEY WEST FLORIDA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES



WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:


A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the Dry Tortugas.


SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:


A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

* The Dry Tortugas

* West coast of the Florida peninsula from East Cape Sable to Boca

Grande


A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...

* The Florida Keys south of the Card Sound Bridge

* The southern coast of the Florida peninsula east of East Cape

Sable to the Card Sound Bridge

* The west coast of the Florida peninsula north of Boca Grande to

the mouth of the Suwannee River


A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...

* Bonita Beach northward to the mouth of the Suwannee River,

including Tampa Bay and Charlotte Harbor


A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are

expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.


A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are

possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.


A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-

threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the

coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.

For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather

Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at

hurricanes.gov.


Interests elsewhere in Florida and the southeastern coast of the

United States should monitor the progress of this system. Additional

warnings and watches will likely be required for a portion of this 

on Saturday.


For storm information specific to your area, including possible

inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your

local National Weather Service forecast office.



DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four 

was located near latitude 21.4 North, longitude 79.7 West.  The 

depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 

km/h).  A turn toward the northwest is forecast on Saturday, 

followed by a slower motion toward the north and then the northeast 

on Sunday and Monday.  On the forecast track, the center of the 

depression will move across Cuba overnight and on Saturday, and then 

move generally northward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico Saturday 

and Sunday, potentially reaching the Florida Gulf coast late Sunday 

or Monday.


Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.

Strengthening is forecast during the next several days, and the 

depression is expected to become a tropical storm on Saturday and 

continue strengthening over the eastern Gulf of Mexico through the 

weekend.


The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).



HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

WINDS: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area

late Saturday and Saturday night.  Tropical storm conditions are

possible in the watch area in the Florida Keys and the southern

Florida peninsula by Saturday or Saturday night. Tropical storm

conditions are possible in the watch area along the Florida west

coast Saturday night and Sunday.


STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause

normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters

moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could reach the

following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if

the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...


Bonita Beach, FL to Suwannee River, FL...2-4 ft

Tampa Bay...2-4 ft

Charlotte Harbor...2-4 ft

Card Sound Bridge, FL to Bonita Beach, FL...1-3 ft

Dry Tortugas...1-2 ft


RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Four is expected to produce rainfall

totals of 4 to 8 inches, with maximum rainfall totals up to 12

inches, across portions of Florida and along the Southeast U.S.

coast this weekend through Wednesday. This rainfall may result in

areas of locally considerable flash and urban flooding, with

isolated river flooding possible.


For Cuba, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches, with localized higher 

amounts, will be possible through Saturday. This may result in 

isolated to scattered areas of flooding.


For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding

associated with Tropical Depression Four, please see the National

Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at

hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf


TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible across the Florida Keys and

the western Florida Peninsula Saturday night through Sunday morning.



NEXT ADVISORY

-------------

Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.

Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.


$$

Forecaster Berg


URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

1113 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


GMZ830-850-853-870-873-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Tampa Bay waters-

Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-

Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-

Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM-

Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-

1113 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 55 kt and

  seas 6 to 10 ft.


* WHERE...Tampa Bay waters, Coastal waters from Englewood to

  Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM and Waters from Englewood to

  Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM.


* WHEN...Tropical Storm force winds possible from early Sunday

  morning until Sunday afternoon.


* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous seas which

  could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible

hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter

course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.


&&


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ149-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Coastal Pasco-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...STORM SURGE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Port Richey

    - Hudson

    - Holiday


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 55 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58

      to 73 mph

        - The wind threat has increased from the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical

          storm force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect life and property should now be

          underway. Prepare for significant wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with

          damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few

          buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door

          failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.

          Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.

        - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater

          numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several

          fences and roadway signs blown over.

        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Scattered power and communications outages, but more

          prevalent in areas with above ground lines.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: through Monday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of

          greater than 3 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should

          be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from

          storm surge flooding.

        - ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture

          outside.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding

        - Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous

          assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ155-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Coastal Manatee-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...STORM SURGE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Bradenton

    - Anna Maria Island


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 30 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be

          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: through Monday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of

          greater than 3 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should

          be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from

          storm surge flooding.

        - ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture

          outside.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding

        - Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous

          assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ255-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Inland Manatee-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Parrish

    - Lakewood Ranch

    - Myakka City


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be

          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - No storm surge inundation forecast


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm

      surge flooding

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.

          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip

          currents are possible.

        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding

          are needed.

        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor

          forecasts.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None

        - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous

          assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ160-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Coastal Sarasota-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...STORM SURGE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Venice

    - Sarasota

    - Englewood


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 30 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect property should be

          completed as soon as possible. Prepare for limited wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: through Monday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of

          greater than 3 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should

          be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from

          storm surge flooding.

        - ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture

          outside.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding

        - Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ052-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Polk-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Lakeland

    - Winter Haven

    - Bartow


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be

          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous

          assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ050-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Pinellas-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...STORM SURGE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - St. Petersburg

    - Clearwater

    - Largo


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58

      to 73 mph

        - The wind threat has increased from the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical

          storm force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect life and property should now be

          underway. Prepare for significant wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with

          damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few

          buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door

          failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.

          Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.

        - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater

          numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several

          fences and roadway signs blown over.

        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Scattered power and communications outages, but more

          prevalent in areas with above ground lines.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: through Monday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of

          greater than 3 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should

          be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from

          storm surge flooding.

        - ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture

          outside.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding

        - Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous

          assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ151-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Coastal Hillsborough-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...STORM SURGE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Tampa

    - Apollo Beach

    - Westchase


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be

          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: through Monday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of

          greater than 3 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should

          be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from

          storm surge flooding.

        - ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture

          outside.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding

        - Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous

          assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ251-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Inland Hillsborough-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Brandon

    - Plant City

    - Sun City Center


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be

          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - No storm surge inundation forecast


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm

      surge flooding

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.

          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip

          currents are possible.

        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding

          are needed.

        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor

          forecasts.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None

        - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous

          assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ242-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Inland Citrus-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Inverness

    - Crystal River

    - Homosassa Springs


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 30 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be

          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - No storm surge inundation forecast


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm

      surge flooding

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.

          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip

          currents are possible.

        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding

          are needed.

        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor

          forecasts.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None

        - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous

          assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ239-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Inland Levy-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Chiefland

    - Bronson

    - Williston


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 35 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be

          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - No storm surge inundation forecast


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm

      surge flooding

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.

          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip

          currents are possible.

        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding

          are needed.

        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor

          forecasts.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None

        - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous

          assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ142-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Coastal Citrus-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...STORM SURGE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Crystal River

    - Homosassa


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 35 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58

      to 73 mph

        - The wind threat has increased from the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical

          storm force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect life and property should now be

          underway. Prepare for significant wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with

          damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few

          buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door

          failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.

          Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.

        - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater

          numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several

          fences and roadway signs blown over.

        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Scattered power and communications outages, but more

          prevalent in areas with above ground lines.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: through Monday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of

          greater than 3 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should

          be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from

          storm surge flooding.

        - ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture

          outside.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding

        - Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous

          assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ056-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Hardee-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Wauchula

    - Bowling Green

    - Zolfo Springs


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be

          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous

          assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ061-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

DeSoto-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Arcadia

    - Fort Ogden


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be

          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - No storm surge inundation forecast


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm

      surge flooding

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.

          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip

          currents are possible.

        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding

          are needed.

        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor

          forecasts.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None

        - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous

          assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ148-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Coastal Hernando-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...STORM SURGE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Hernando Beach

    - Bayport


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 35 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be

          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: through Monday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of

          greater than 3 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should

          be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from

          storm surge flooding.

        - ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture

          outside.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding

        - Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous

          assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ262-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Inland Charlotte-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Babcock Ranch


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be

          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - No storm surge inundation forecast


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm

      surge flooding

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.

          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip

          currents are possible.

        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding

          are needed.

        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor

          forecasts.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None

        - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous

          assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ265-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Inland Lee-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Fort Myers

    - Lehigh Acres


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be

          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - No storm surge inundation forecast


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm

      surge flooding

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.

          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip

          currents are possible.

        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding

          are needed.

        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor

          forecasts.


    - REALIZED IMPACTS: Being Assessed

        - Little to no additional surge impacts expected. Community

          officials are now assessing the extent of actual surge

          impacts accordingly.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ248-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Inland Hernando-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Brooksville

    - Spring Hill

    - High Point


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be

          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - No storm surge inundation forecast


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm

      surge flooding

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.

          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip

          currents are possible.

        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding

          are needed.

        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor

          forecasts.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None

        - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous

          assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ043-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Sumter-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Wildwood

    - Lake Panasoffkee

    - Bushnell


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 10-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be

          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous

          assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ249-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Inland Pasco-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Dade City

    - Zephyrhills

    - Land O Lakes


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 10-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be

          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - No storm surge inundation forecast


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm

      surge flooding

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.

          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip

          currents are possible.

        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding

          are needed.

        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor

          forecasts.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None

        - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous

          assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ162-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Coastal Charlotte-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...STORM SURGE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Port Charlotte

    - Punta Gorda

    - Charlotte harbor


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 30 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be

          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: through Monday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of

          greater than 3 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should

          be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from

          storm surge flooding.

        - ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture

          outside.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding

        - Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ260-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Inland Sarasota-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - North Port


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect property should be

          completed as soon as possible. Prepare for limited wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - No storm surge inundation forecast


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm

      surge flooding

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.

          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip

          currents are possible.

        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding

          are needed.

        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor

          forecasts.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None

        - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous

          assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL042024

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ139-031115-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Coastal Levy-

1109 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...STORM SURGE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Cedar Key

    - Yankeetown

    - Fowler Bluff


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 35-45 mph with gusts to 60 mph

        - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Sunday afternoon

          until Monday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58

      to 73 mph

        - The wind threat has increased from the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical

          storm force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect life and property should now be

          underway. Prepare for significant wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with

          damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few

          buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door

          failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.

          Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.

        - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater

          numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several

          fences and roadway signs blown over.

        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Scattered power and communications outages, but more

          prevalent in areas with above ground lines.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: through Monday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of

          greater than 3 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should

          be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from

          storm surge flooding.

        - ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture

          outside.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding

        - Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 6-10 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous

          assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Melbourne FL  AL042024

1057 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ144-031100-

/O.CON.KMLB.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Southern Lake-

1057 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 35-40 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat remains similar to the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be

          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.


$$

Four Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Melbourne FL  AL042024

1057 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


FLZ044-031100-

/O.CON.KMLB.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Northern Lake-

1057 PM EDT Fri Aug 2 2024


...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 35-40 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat remains similar to the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be

          underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.

        - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind

          becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.


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Warmer Days Return, Pretty Much Staying Dry

FORECAST: Thursday (High 86, Low 63): Sunny. Patchy fog possible in the morning.  Friday (High 88, Low 64): Sunny. Warm with humidity. Satur...