Thursday, July 11, 2024

July Heat Returns Shortly . . .

FORECAST:

Friday (High 94, Low 66): Mostly sunny. Cool in the morning, hot in the afternoon. 

Saturday (High 96, Low 69): Partly to mostly sunny. Hot.

Sunday (High 97, Low 71): Mostly sunny. Hot and humid. 

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:

Monday (High 96, Low 73): Partly to mostly sunny. 

Tuesday (High 97, Low 74): Partly cloudy. 

Wednesday (High 96, Low 75): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Thursday (High 94, Low 74): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

READING TEA LEAVES:

Friday July 19 (High 95, Low 73): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Saturday July 20 (High 93, Low 73): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Sunday July 21 (High 94, Low 74): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

BEACH FORECAST:

Friday (High 92, Low 76): Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible. 

Saturday (High 93, Low 78): Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible. 

Sunday (High 93, Low 79): Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible. 

Next Week (Highs in lower 90's, Lows in upper 70's): Partly cloudy with a 40% chance of scattered showers/thunderstorms. 

PRONÓSTICO:

Viernes (Máxima 94, Mínima 66): Mayormente soleado. Fresco por la mañana, caluroso por la tarde.

Sábado (Máxima 96, Mínima 69): Parcialmente a mayormente soleado. Caliente.

Domingo (Máxima 97, Mínima 71): Mayormente soleado. Caliente y húmedo.

PERSPECTIVA EXTENDIDA:

Lunes (Máxima 96, Mínima 73): Parcialmente a mayormente soleado.

Martes (Máxima 97, Mínima 74): Parcialmente nublado.

Miércoles (Máxima 96, Mínima 75): Parcialmente nublado con un 20 % de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas.

Jueves (Máxima 94, Mínima 74): Parcialmente nublado con un 30% de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas.

LEYENDO LAS HOJAS DE TÉ:

Viernes 19 de Julio (Máxima 95, Mínima 73): Parcialmente nublado con un 20 % de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas.

Sábado 20 de Julio (Máxima 93, Mínima 73): Parcialmente nublado con un 30 % de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas.

Domingo 21 de Julio (Máxima 94, Mínima 74): Parcialmente nublado con un 20 % de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas.

PREVISIÓN DE LA PLAYA:

Viernes (Máxima 92, Mínima 76): Parcialmente nublado. Es posible que se produzcan lluvias y tormentas aisladas.

Sábado (Máxima 93, Mínima 78): Parcialmente nublado. Es posible que se produzcan lluvias y tormentas aisladas.

Domingo (Máxima 93, Mínima 79): Parcialmente nublado. Es posible que se produzcan lluvias y tormentas aisladas.

La Próxima Semana (Máximas en los 90 grados inferiores, Mínimas en los 70 superiores): Parcialmente nublado con un 40% de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas dispersas.

DISCUSSION:

At 1 PM skies are mostly sunny in Cullman. The temperature is 84 degrees. The dewpoint is 64 degrees, making the relative humidity 51%. Winds are variable at 5 miles per hour. The pressure is 30.09 inches and falling slowly. The Low this morning was 64. That's comfortable walking the dog weather for a lot of people. 

It is sunny and 91 in Jasper. The dewpoint is 59, making the relative humidity 34%. Winds are out of the Northwest at 8 miles per hour. The pressure is 30.06 inches and falling slowly. The Low this morning was 63 degrees. 

Haleyville is mostly cloudy and 86 degrees. The dewpoint is 63, making the relative humidity 46%. Winds are variable at 3 mph. The pressure is 30.10 inches/1017.6 millibars and falling slowly. The Low there was also 63 this morning. 

It is partly cloudy and 90 degrees in Huntsville. The dewpoint is 63, making the relative humidity 41%. Winds are totally calm at the moment. Pressure is 30.06 inches/1016.9 millibars and falling slowly. This morning's Low was 69. Is that a good number? Yes, that is a very good number . . . 

It is partly cloudy and 89 degrees in Nashville. The dewpoint is 64, making the relative humidity 43%. Winds are Northwest at 6 mph. The pressure is 30.07 inches and falling slowly. Also 1017.6 millibars. And the Low in Nashville was also 69. Seems to be a popular number in the bigger cities of the Southeast these cool mornings. But who am I to judge . . . ? 





Seeing some cumulus clouds on satellite imagery and of course out the window. I find the window more reliable sometimes, but I can't see the whole Southeast that way. Thus am thankful for the satellites that provide these images from outer space. Although I suspect the flat-earthers are less thankful for such images that might threaten their worldview. Anyway we've got a front down South of Mobile and some strong high pressure over the Southeast region. We are not seeing any rain at the moment. 



And our next shot at the humidity and some rain chances coming back is this broad area of low pressure coming in from the Atlantic Ocean. It'll bring some rain chances to the Carolinas for sure going into this weekend, probably some heavier rains there. And it will have some impact on our local weather as the pattern gradually changes going into next week. Let's take it day by day even though some might think that's a waste of energy in the summertime. I guess I enjoy the nuances. 



Tomorrow it looks like a repeat of today, mostly sunny skies, temperature probably climbs a little higher, to about 93-94, the morning Low about 66-67, so still pretty cool in the morning, low humidity, but a bit toasty as the day goes on. 



Then on Saturday, looks like that rain doesn't make it in here then either, that low pressure area from the East, in the Carolinas. It stays out there. And the high pressure stays here. So again we stay mostly sunny. And the High will rebound to the mid-90's, about 95-97, the Low rebounding to about 70. 



And the high pressure holds firm on Sunday. I don't know why I said that low pressure area from the Atlantic would impact us. It isn't with any rain. I think I read someone else's forecast discussion and just accepted that on faith. Shame on me. Although that moisture could increase our dewpoints locally by Sunday, just the moisture could make things turn a little more muggy. But as far as any rain chances, the high pressure sure is winning this battle in all the model guidance. Only showing the GFS here, but in the NAM and ECMWF, it also keeps us dry here. So Sunday looks mostly sunny with a High in the mid-to-upper-90's and a Low of about 70 or so. And the humidity will start creeping back up. 



And even on Monday, I think we stay dry. Highs may get into the upper 90's though, so especially with humidity gradually coming back, these could be sweltering hot days. 




Tuesday also looks mostly dry and hot with enough humidity to add to the heat but probably not enough to bring even isolated rain, like a 10% chance of rain, which is close enough to nothing. High should be in mid/upper 90's and Low in lower 70's. 

Some time between Sunday and Tuesday I'm pretty sure the local National Weather Service offices will have to issue a heat advisory. They're already thinking about it, mentioning in forecast discussions. 



Wednesday it looks like finally we have the baseline chance for isolated rain/thunderstorms, 20% chance again. High should still be in mid-90's or maybe upper, Low in lower-to-mid-70's. 



Then for next Thursday, a frontal boundary gets close enough to the region that it makes sense to increase rain chances to 30%. So a 3-out-of-10 chance of any one spot getting a thunderstorm or shower. With these kinds of temperatures I wouldn't be surprised if some storms were hailers along with some strong wind gusts. Which happens every summer from time to time. These temperatures are definitely above average though. For Thursday expecting a High in the mid-90's instead of upper 90's, the Low in lower-to-mid-70's. 



Then looking into the land of tea leaves, which isn't as worthless in summer as it can often be in other seasons (like spring), I'd be inclined to trim the rain chance back to 20% for Friday as that front washes out and doesn't really do much. High in mid-90's, Low in lower 70's. 



Then for Saturday, enough moisture looks to be available again to bring the rain chance back to 30%. High in lower-to-mid-90's, Low in lower 70's. 



Then for Sunday, the rain chance goes back to only 20% with a High in mid-90's, Low in lower 70's. 

So it's going to turn hot again, also turn muggy, and not much rain for relief even in the extended. 

Don't shoot the messenger . . . just throw tomatoes for all my corn-pone humor. I like ketchup. 


Yesterday was kind of a trip nationally, where they had several reports of wind damage and even tornadoes up in New York, thanks to the remnants of Hurricane Beryl. Which did not cause problems in Tennessee the other day but then really had a field day with New York, a state that rarely sees tornadoes. There was also some severe weather in Iowa and thereabouts along a cold front, but that's not all that exciting compared to tornadoes and major wind storms up around the Big Apple. 


As you might have figured out by now, rainfall amounts are going to stay pretty light for this forecast period. Over the next week, we'll see an average of a quarter to a half inch of rain. Some of us may not see any rain. You know how hit-or-miss it is when these oppressive hot/muggy summer patterns set up around here. And temperatures are too hot worldwide right now, including the ocean temperatures that produced Beryl. But I'm only in sales, not production I guess. 

Nuke a gay whale for Jesus, or somebody needs to update that old bumper sticker . . . nuke a non-binary dolphin for your Higher Power . . . or maybe for Zarathustra. Jesus don't get no respect these days, especially not from the Christian conservatives, but really not from the liberal Pronoun Police Squad either. So I guess I'll show him the minor respect of leaving him out of the updated joke. 

Nuke a non-binary shark 4 Donald CopperBlaingel!

After all, people always need new graven images, like a new ten commandments monument. And there have been way too many shark bites in the news lately . . . think somehow that nut who rescued a shark and threw it back to sea managed to avoid getting swallowed . . . or even bitten. 

Which is my way of saying stay cool, unless you prefer to bake . . . or finally kill off an undesirable relative (or pet) by leaving them in a hot car. Again, who am I to judge? 

But I'd prefer that ya' stay cool enough and don't actually cook anybody. And if you must cook somebody, at least have the common decency to eat 'em, preferably with ketchup. Although I think they used barbecue sauce in that old movie Fried Green Tomatoes. 

Hasta luego. 

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