Forecast Summary

 The reassessing this event can come later. 

For now, the high points of the forecast:

Rest of today, the rain will gradually be tapering off with a High near 73. 

Tomorrow will be sunny with a High between about 72 and 75, the Low about 40-43. 

Overall Wednesday looks like a mix of sun and clouds during the day, High in the lower 80's, Low near 60, or at least upper 50's. 

Wednesday night into Thursday, we'll have to watch for severe thunderstorm potential again. The greatest threat is going to be to our Northwest, but the threat clips our region enough that it's worth paying attention to. 

The coverage of showers and storms does not look too impressive though, so even if we have severe thunderstorms, they should be pretty widely scattered, like on stormy summer days. 

Looks like a 30% chance of rain (and storms) Thursday with a High in the mid-80's, Low in the mid-60's. Some places may set new record highs late this week. 

Basically the same for Friday except the Low might actually be in the upper 60's, High could edge into upper 80's. 

Then looking at mid-80's/mid-60's again Saturday with about a 40% chance of rain/thunderstorms. 

Sunday it looks like the front is finally able to pass through the area, and rain is likely with the High falling back to about 70, the Low to about 60. And then we'll see about the following week, how much of a cool snap we get. Will speculate on that more this evening. Seems like some of the long-range NBM guidance had our Highs in the 60's, which is sort of unusual for early April. But it can happen. Sometimes we've even got a freeze in the last week or two before we clearly make the transition to warm weather. First couple weeks of April, can still get a surprise. 

Not going to look at it in detail this morning, but man, what a severe weather event this was across several states. Just looking at all the hail reports and wind damage reports, that is a lot. Only a few were thought to be tornadoes, some were already confirmed as tornadoes, but this was a significant event even without those.

Severe T'Storm Watch

 So we'll see what happens now . . . 

7:47 AM - And I fell asleep for a while. Looks like there were a few warnings that did not trip my weather radio. So here we are. The squall line is about to move through Cullman and is blanketed with Special Weather Statements for strong thunderstorms that are below severe limits. 

Also got some flash flooding issues going on in Colbert, Franklin, and Lawrence Counties in NW AL. 

7:59 - Winds could still gust up to 50 mph over the next 15 minutes or so as these storms finish blowing through. 

Man, it has been a long time since I've fallen asleep at the switch. Perhaps in the near future, need to scale back the area I try to cover and conserve energy. Like forecast for the broad area but only post warnings for the areas that trip my weather radio. Which is usually Cullman, Walker, and Winston Counties. Now I think it's more like Cullman, Blount, Walker, and Etowah Counties since had to switch to Blountsville transmitter, or maybe it's in Oneonta, but same basic area. The Arab one would be great, but it doesn't pick up well from where I'm at. I doubt many (if any) people were following my blog at 5-6 AM or so, but . . . one never knows. And this doesn't happen often. Usually it takes me an hour or two after a system is through with the area to be able to fall asleep. This time it was like my body just used a shutoff safety valve and said "no more". I rested my eyes, and then it was a couple hours later with thunder rolling. 

8:05 AM - Glad this squall line is no longer severe as it pushes through the local area though. 

8:06 - Behind the line, the Severe Thunderstorm Watch is being cancelled out. And after it is, we won't have any more severe weather problems today. We may see another round Wednesday evening or night. And we'll have to watch Thursday too. 

Tuesday looks really pleasant though. 

Unfortunately the graphic I tried to post above of the watch being cleared out is several hours out of date. So that's a no-go. 

And I found a workaround. This is current. The pink is the watch. The brown is Flash Flood Warnings. 

8:11 - Strong thunderstorms moving through Blount County too, but below severe criteria. 

Overall I think we got off pretty easy with this event. But I believe I saw where lightning struck a home near Huntsville. And during the dark hours this long night, communities like Fairview, Franklin, Mount Pleasant, Columbia looked like they did get some damage in Tennessee, likely from a tornado. And that one place in Humphreys County before the storm fit Fairview and Franklin, roof came off a house. Whether that was straight-line thunderstorm winds or a tornado (more likely a tornado), that is some pretty serious damage, to have the whole roof gone. So not everybody in our vicinity did get off easy, just most of us. 

8:16 - Walker, Winston, Marion, Fayette, and Lamar Counties have now been cleared from the watch.

8:30 - We've got a Flash Flood Warning in Morgan County that includes Hartselle, Falkville, and Priceville.  

8:32 - The watch continues to be cleared out. Cullman, Morgan, and Madison Counties are in the clear. It continues for Marshall, Jackson, and Dekalb Counties, also Blount and Etowah. 

8:34 - At this point I'm going to discontinue my "coverage" here on the blog, because frankly, it's better to do that than to risk nodding off again. This event dragged out a long time and had some interesting twists and turns. Will post a forecast summary I've been working on. 

SEL5

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 85

   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

   445 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 

     Northern and Central Alabama

     Far Northwest Georgia

     Northeast Mississippi

   * Effective this Monday morning from 445 AM until NOON CDT.

   * Primary threats include...

     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

     Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

     A tornado or two possible

   SUMMARY...Multiple lines and clusters of thunderstorms are expected

   to spread eastward this morning across much of northern/central

   Alabama and into far northwest Georgia. Scattered severe/damaging

   winds should be the main threat with this activity, although

   isolated hail and perhaps a tornado or two may also occur.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75

   statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles northeast of

   Huntsville AL to 20 miles south southwest of Selma AL. For a

   complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline

   update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are

   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.

   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening

   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible

   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce

   tornadoes.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 81...WW 82...WW 83...WW

   84...

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to

   1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A

   few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector

   27035.

   ...Gleason

 WOUS64 KWNS 310945

   WOU5

   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 85

   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

   445 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2025

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 85 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 PM CDT

   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

   ALC001-007-009-011-015-017-019-021-027-029-037-043-047-049-051-

   055-057-059-063-065-071-073-075-079-081-083-085-087-089-091-093-

   095-101-103-105-107-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-133-

   311700-

   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0085.250331T0945Z-250331T1700Z/

   AL 

   .    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   AUTAUGA              BIBB                BLOUNT              

   BULLOCK              CALHOUN             CHAMBERS            

   CHEROKEE             CHILTON             CLAY                

   CLEBURNE             COOSA               CULLMAN             

   DALLAS               DEKALB              ELMORE              

   ETOWAH               FAYETTE             FRANKLIN            

   GREENE               HALE                JACKSON             

   JEFFERSON            LAMAR               LAWRENCE            

   LEE                  LIMESTONE           LOWNDES             

   MACON                MADISON             MARENGO             

   MARION               MARSHALL            MONTGOMERY          

   MORGAN               PERRY               PICKENS             

   RANDOLPH             RUSSELL             SHELBY              

   ST. CLAIR            SUMTER              TALLADEGA           

   TALLAPOOSA           TUSCALOOSA          WALKER              

   WINSTON              

   GAC047-055-083-295-311700-

   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0085.250331T0945Z-250331T1700Z/

   GA 

   .    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   CATOOSA              CHATTOOGA           DADE                

   WALKER               

   MSC017-057-081-095-115-311700-

   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0085.250331T0945Z-250331T1700Z/

   MS 

   .    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   CHICKASAW            ITAWAMBA            LEE                 

   MONROE               PONTOTOC            

   ATTN...WFO...BMX...MEG...FFC...HUN...

Severe T'Storm Warning

Plenty of lead time on this warning that includes Fayetteville, Huntland, and Winchester across Lincoln, Moore, and Franklin Counties. Winds could gust up to 60 miles per hour. The hail is expected to stay about penny-sized, which is below severe limits. 

3:05 AM - Here's a good look at the polygon. 

3:06 - Giles County has been removed from the warning because the storm is outta' there. 

3:07 - The only other severe part of this squall line at the moment is that part moving into the Shoals with potential for hail up to the size of half dollars. 

3:10 - Wayne, Lawrence, and Giles Counties have been cleared from the Tornado Watch as well as points North of there in Tennessee. 

3:14 - Showing alternate radar sources can be a good strategy for staying awake at this hour . . . 

3:23 - Things sure can vary within a squall line, different storms in it. This storm aiming at Winchester is racing along at 60 mph, while the one moving through the Shoals is slow-poking it at 35 mph. The Tennessee storm is warned mainly because of damaging wind gusts, the one in Northwest Alabama has a warning mainly because of severe hail up to the size of half dollars. 

If I had to guess, within the next hour-and-a-half, when the Tornado Watch was originally set to expire, we'll probably see a Severe Thunderstorm Watch replacing it. And if that prediction is wrong, I'm just gonna' blame it on sleep deprivation. 

3:30 - The warning for severe hail (estimated quarter-size now) has been extended into Lawrence County now. 

That new warning polygon goes all the way from Muscle Shoals through Town Creek all the way down to Moulton. Moulton is on the Southern edge of this. 

3:33 - The warning for Franklin, Lincoln, and Moore Counties in TN has been cancelled, as that part of the squall line has weakened below severe limits. 

And really this one in NW AL is only severe because of the size of the hail, winds are expected to stay under severe limits. 

3:49 - And now the warning in Northwest Alabama has been cancelled too. The storms are definitely in a weakening phase. The Tornado Watch continues for about another hour, until 5 AM CDT. 

3:52 - Lincoln, Moore, and Franklin Counties have been cleared from the Tornado Watch. So the severe weather threat is over for all of our bordering Tennessee counties. 

3:54 - We still have strong thunderstorms moving through Northwest Alabama, but they are under severe limits. 

4:04 AM - And now we have an advisory for gusty winds in strong thunderstorms moving through mainly Jackson County in Northeast Alabama too. 

4:20 - Some of these storms back in Central Mississippi bear watching. 

4:24 - But over on the Alabama side, we've got only a couple storms in the line, one in far Northwest AL, the other in far Northeast AL, that are pretty strong, but under severe limits. Tons of lightning in the one moving through the Shoals. 

And we've got another half an hour on that Tornado Watch. We'll see if it's extended or if it's replaced by a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for certain places or what. 

4:46 - Well my weather radio is going off for a new watch. So will post that soon. But for now, trained weather spotters have confirmed that these storms coming from Northwest Alabama are producing wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel sized hail. 

286 

WUUS54 KHUN 310756

SVRHUN

TNC051-103-127-310845-

/O.NEW.KHUN.SV.W.0045.250331T0756Z-250331T0845Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

National Weather Service Huntsville AL

256 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

The National Weather Service in Huntsville Alabama has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...

  Southeastern Moore County in Middle Tennessee...

  Lincoln County in Middle Tennessee...

  Franklin County in Middle Tennessee...

* Until 345 AM CDT.

* At 256 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles northeast

  of Ardmore, or 12 miles west of Fayetteville, moving east at 60

  mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...

  Huntland, Elora, Hurdlow, Maxwell, Mimosa, St. Andrews, Smithland,

  Tims Ford Lake, Beans Creek, and Coldwater.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a

building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 AM CDT for north central

Alabama...and Middle Tennessee.

&&

LAT...LON 3522 8586 3499 8586 3499 8683 3520 8683

      3528 8591

TIME...MOT...LOC 0756Z 266DEG 52KT 3511 8678 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN

WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

KDW

Severe T'Storm Warning

 And our squall line is rolling on in to the Alabama side of things gradually now. Severe thunderstorms continue in Southern Tennessee. Meanwhile for places like Nashville, the severe weather threat has ended from this squall line event. 

2 AM - Here's a better look at the radar. 

2:04 - Some broad rotation with that storm coming out of Booneville. And they do have a "tornado possible" tag on that severe thunderstorm warning. But quarter-sized hail has been observed with these storms, which is the baseline for a severe thunderstorm. 

2:08 - Meanwhile that warning to the East that included Giles County has been cancelled now because the storms weakened below severe limits.

 2:17 - These severe thunderstorm warnings go for about another 10 minutes. These parts of the line appear to still be capable of severe hail and wind gusts. Although the overall trend is for the line to weaken right now. Not sure if that will last throughout the night or not. The Tornado Watch is set to go until 5 AM, so about two and a half more hours. 

2:25 - And the SPC just issued a mesoscale discussion about how the severe weather threat continues, and a new watch may be needed further East and South in Alabama, into Georgia, by the time the current Tornado Watch expires at 5 AM. It is not clear-cut whether the new watch will be another Tornado Watch or a Severe Thunderstorm Watch. 

2:28 - And we have a new Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Lawrence and Giles Counties as that bow echo moves toward Pulaski, TN. 

2:30 - And a Special Weather Statement has been issued for Eastern Lauderdale County into Limestone County for the potential of 40 mph wind gusts and penny sized hail in thunderstorms. Fun fact: Penny size (3/4 inch) used to be the threshold for a severe thunderstorm. John Gordon, who recently retired from the National Weather Service, helped spin up the NWS Huntsville in 2003, and has recently become one of the regular panelists on Bill Murray and James Spann's Weatherbrains podcast, pushed to get the limit up to one inch in diameter hail, quarter-sized, because we had too many warnings for just penny-sized hail and no other hazard from wind. 

Anyway, these strong thunderstorms will impact Athens. But they are under severe limits. 

2:34 - That warning that included Florence has been allowed to expire, as the storms weakened. 

But something interesting is that some activity is starting to try to organize ahead of the squall line, from Madison back to Cullman even back to Fayette Counties. Like another broken line of showers/maybe storms is trying to form. We'll see what that does. 

2:40 - And here is that special balloon data from Birmingham. It shows weak to moderate instability at this point but really strong wind shear, including at the lowest kilometer of the atmosphere, more than enough rotation to support a tornado threat. And still the supercell composite and significant tornado parameter values are at zero. The weak instability is struggling to overcome the capping inversion.

2:44 - And we have a new severe thunderstorm warning that affects from about Florence down to Russellville. It is for the threat of half-dollar sized hail mainly, with a note that wind gusts up to 50 mph are also possible in this storm. 

That does include Muscle Shoals, is mainly for Colbert but also includes Northern Franklin and Southern Lauderdale Counties. 

2:48 - And this just came from SPC about how we might be in for another round of this Wednesday evening/night. And once again, the best chance of supercells seems to be from Northern Mississippi, far Northwest corner of Alabama up through about the Western half of Tennessee. But you can see, this has the potential to be another widespread outbreak of storms affecting many states, same basic areas as today/tonight's event has. 

And of course our threat is still ongoing locally. 

At least Tuesday does look sunny with mild temperatures . . . 

2:56 - This line has really slowed down and is pushing into Alabama more slowly than I would have expected. If this continues, will be interesting how it affects the impacts as the line of showers/storms moves further into the state later this morning. It is mostly weakening right now. 

Well except for that storm coming toward Fayetteville. Will make a new post for that new warning. 

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

ALC033-077-310730-

/O.NEW.KHUN.SV.W.0043.250331T0649Z-250331T0730Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

National Weather Service Huntsville AL

149 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

The National Weather Service in Huntsville Alabama has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...

  Lauderdale County in northwestern Alabama...

  Northern Colbert County in northwestern Alabama...

* Until 230 AM CDT.

* At 149 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles north of

  Cherokee, or 10 miles east of J P Coleman State Park, moving east

  at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

* Locations impacted include...

  Green Hill, Northwest Alabama Regional Airport, Florence, Riverton,

  Wright, Oakland, Waterloo, Lexington, Center Star, and Killen.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a

building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 AM CDT for north central

and northwestern Alabama.

&&

LAT...LON 3500 8808 3499 8735 3480 8741 3480 8743

      3478 8743 3477 8742 3473 8744 3478 8811

TIME...MOT...LOC 0649Z 273DEG 32KT 3488 8800

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH

$$

KTW

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

TNC099-181-310730-

/O.NEW.KOHX.SV.W.0049.250331T0652Z-250331T0730Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

National Weather Service Nashville TN

152 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...

  Southeastern Wayne County in Middle Tennessee...

  Lawrence County in Middle Tennessee...

* Until 230 AM CDT.

* At 152 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Collinwood,

  or 17 miles south of Waynesboro, moving east at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...

  Lawrenceburg, Loretto, Leoma, Westpoint, Iron City, Collinwood, and

  St. Joseph.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a

building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for Middle

Tennessee.

&&

LAT...LON 3500 8779 3518 8783 3529 8725 3530 8722

      3529 8723 3528 8721 3523 8722 3520 8721

      3520 8722 3517 8722 3516 8720 3514 8721

      3512 8720 3512 8722 3510 8721 3506 8722

      3500 8722

TIME...MOT...LOC 0652Z 262DEG 32KT 3508 8771

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN

WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

10

Severe Weather Statement

National Weather Service Memphis TN

150 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

MSC117-310700-

/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0090.000000T0000Z-250331T0700Z/

Prentiss MS-

150 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT

FOR PRENTISS COUNTY...

At 149 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Wheeler, or

near Booneville, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Broadcast media.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail

         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind

         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...

Thrasher, Blackland, Booneville, Thrashers, Gaston, Geeville, Hobo

Station, Jumpertown, Wheeler, Frankstown, Altitude, Rienzi, and

Baldwyn.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 AM CDT for northeastern

Mississippi.

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly

from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the

storm shelter or small central room in a sturdy structure.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a

building.

&&

LAT...LON 3453 8839 3453 8873 3454 8874 3460 8873

      3460 8872 3467 8872 3476 8862 3476 8836

      3475 8835

TIME...MOT...LOC 0649Z 270DEG 34KT 3462 8860

TORNADO...POSSIBLE

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED

MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

AC3

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

TNC007-310745-

/O.NEW.KMRX.SV.W.0034.250331T0649Z-250331T0745Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

National Weather Service Morristown TN

149 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...

  Bledsoe County in east Tennessee...

* Until 245 AM CDT.

* At 148 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Spencer,

  moving east at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...

  Melvine, Mount Crest, Pikeville, and Fall Creek Falls State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a

building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 AM CDT for east

Tennessee.

&&

LAT...LON 3572 8526 3576 8526 3577 8510 3576 8507

      3577 8504 3575 8503 3577 8494 3576 8492

      3568 8499 3557 8511 3553 8510 3551 8513

      3550 8514 3549 8514 3557 8542

TIME...MOT...LOC 0648Z 274DEG 33KT 3571 8541

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

DGS

Severe Weather Statement

National Weather Service Nashville TN

148 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

TNC175-177-185-310700-

/O.CON.KOHX.SV.W.0045.000000T0000Z-250331T0700Z/

Van Buren TN-Warren TN-White TN-

148 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT

FOR NORTHWESTERN VAN BUREN...NORTHERN WARREN AND WHITE COUNTIES...

At 148 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles northeast of

Spencer, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...

Sparta, Rock Island State Park, Spencer, McMinnville, Doyle, and Fall

Creek Falls State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for Middle

Tennessee.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a

building.

&&

LAT...LON 3564 8538 3568 8591 3584 8571 3583 8565

      3585 8563 3586 8567 3588 8564 3589 8564

      3605 8544 3605 8537 3603 8531 3599 8531

      3598 8527

TIME...MOT...LOC 0648Z 269DEG 34KT 3584 8535

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN

WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

40/Sizemore

Severe Weather Statement

National Weather Service Nashville TN

147 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

TNC003-055-117-310715-

/O.CON.KOHX.SV.W.0047.000000T0000Z-250331T0715Z/

Marshall TN-Giles TN-Bedford TN-

147 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CDT

FOR MARSHALL...NORTHEASTERN GILES AND BEDFORD COUNTIES...

At 146 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line

extending from 10 miles southeast of Spring Hill to 11 miles east of

Pulaski, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...

Belfast, Deason, Frankewing, Shelbyville, Cornersville, Farmington,

Lewisburg, Unionville, and Chapel Hill.

This includes Interstate 65 between mile markers 11 and 34.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for Middle

Tennessee.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a

building.

&&

LAT...LON 3541 8699 3541 8696 3545 8695 3545 8692

      3553 8685 3564 8682 3568 8652 3564 8646

      3565 8642 3562 8640 3532 8642 3536 8649

      3535 8653 3537 8659 3533 8660 3531 8668

      3525 8675 3526 8683 3515 8683 3515 8695

TIME...MOT...LOC 0646Z 259DEG 38KT 3563 8680 3523 8684

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN

WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

10

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

TNC031-061-175-177-310745-

/O.NEW.KOHX.SV.W.0048.250331T0646Z-250331T0745Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

National Weather Service Nashville TN

146 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...

  Van Buren County in Middle Tennessee...

  Southern Warren County in Middle Tennessee...

  Southeastern Coffee County in Middle Tennessee...

  Grundy County in Middle Tennessee...

* Until 245 AM CDT.

* At 146 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line

  extending from near Spencer to 16 miles west of Pikeville to near

  Manchester to near Tullahoma, moving southeast at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...

  Monteagle, Altamont, Gruetli-Laager, Spencer, Coalmont, Palmer,

  Fall Creek Falls State Park, Hillsboro, Pelham, Tracy City, Viola,

  Beersheba Springs, McMinnville, Arnold AFB, Manchester, and Fiery

  Gizzard State Park.

This includes Interstate 24 between mile markers 114 and 134.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a

building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for Middle

Tennessee.

&&

LAT...LON 3524 8584 3522 8587 3531 8594 3537 8616

      3567 8581 3580 8555 3579 8552 3581 8552

      3580 8536 3582 8527 3571 8528 3557 8542

      3553 8561 3549 8554 3543 8554 3538 8549

      3532 8556 3529 8571 3524 8569 3522 8574

TIME...MOT...LOC 0646Z 302DEG 29KT 3581 8540 3564 8548 3550 8601 3541

8618

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN

WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

40/Sizemore

Severe Weather Statement

National Weather Service Nashville TN

145 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

TNC003-015-031-177-310700-

/O.CON.KOHX.SV.W.0046.000000T0000Z-250331T0700Z/

Warren TN-Coffee TN-Bedford TN-Cannon TN-

145 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT

FOR SOUTHWESTERN WARREN...COFFEE...SOUTHEASTERN BEDFORD AND

SOUTHWESTERN CANNON COUNTIES...

At 145 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line

extending from 10 miles west of McMinnville to Lynchburg, moving east

at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to

         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...

Morrison, Tullahoma, Beechgrove, Raus, Summitville, Manchester,

Normandy, Wartrace, Centertown, Shelbyville, Bell Buckle,

McMinnville, and Arnold AFB.

This includes Interstate 24 between mile markers 96 and 118.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for Middle

Tennessee.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a

building.

&&

LAT...LON 3537 8653 3556 8640 3573 8610 3572 8577

      3547 8593 3535 8606 3536 8616 3534 8620

      3534 8626 3535 8624 3537 8628 3538 8625

      3539 8628 3540 8626 3541 8625 3541 8629

      3536 8633 3535 8641 3532 8642

TIME...MOT...LOC 0645Z 272DEG 25KT 3568 8596 3529 8636

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

10

Severe Weather Statement

National Weather Service Memphis TN

140 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

MSC003-141-310700-

/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0089.000000T0000Z-250331T0700Z/

Tishomingo MS-Alcorn MS-

140 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT

FOR NORTHERN TISHOMINGO AND EASTERN ALCORN COUNTIES...

At 139 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near J P Coleman

State Park, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to

         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...

Bacon Springs, Iuka, Oldham, Doskie, J P Coleman State Park,

Strickland, Pineflat, Blythe Crossing, Biggersville, Jobes, Hinkle,

Glen, Hazard Switch, Walker Siding, Kendrick, Burnsville, Holts Spur,

Farmington, Corinth, and Leedy.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for west

Tennessee. A Tornado Watch also remains in effect until 500 AM CDT

for northeastern Mississippi.

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly

from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the

storm shelter or small central room in a sturdy structure.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a

building.

&&

LAT...LON 3477 8811 3477 8858 3495 8860 3500 8846

      3499 8838 3500 8835 3500 8820 3497 8819

      3496 8817 3492 8815 3489 8810

TIME...MOT...LOC 0639Z 266DEG 42KT 3490 8811

TORNADO...POSSIBLE

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

DNM

Tornado Warning

Take this warning seriously as this is in a very favorable environment for a tornado. And we're seeing that rotation on radar now with this storm.  

12:37 AM - The rest of these storms that are covered by Severe Thunderstorm Warnings are still capable of dangerous wind gusts. But this one is worth taking extra seriously because it may be producing a tornado. If you know somebody in the path, give them a call. Need to get into a small interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy house, not a mobile home. And if possible, cover body in case of debris, especially protect your head. 

12:43 - Ethridge, Henryville, and Summertown are in the path of this possible tornado. Arrival time for Summertown is about 1:05 AM per NWS Huntsville's latest update. 

Looks like this will track North of Lawrenceburg after all. They have adjusted the warning polygon as the track has shifted to the North. 

It's in an unfortunate spot as far as radar coverage at the moment, but it is still showing rotation. 

12:50 - That area around Waterloo in far Western Lauderdale County has been upgraded from just a weather statement to a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for roughly the next hour, 60 mph wind gusts and quarter-sized hail possible. 

12:53 - The tornado warning continues as the storm moves through Northern Lawrence County for about the next 20 minutes. 

12:58 - Chelsea Aaron has a good live stream going. Was watching Matt Laubhan earlier but forgot to grab the link. 

1 AM - Wayne, Lawrence, and Giles Counties (as well as Maury and Lewis counties further to the North in TN) have been blanketed with a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for now. 

The Tornado Warning is cancelled for Wayne County since the storm is out of there. The rotation is broad now, but the warning continues for Northern Lawrence County, clips Southeastern Lewis County, goes about 10 more minutes.

1:16 - This warning has been allowed to expire. The rotation broadened out and then dissipated. 

1:23 - And it took forever to get a radar image to load. But here it is. 

1:24 - Report from Maury County, TN near Mount Pleasant: Emergency management reports Cross Bridges Road impassable due to storm damage. Electrical poles and trees down and damage to structures. This area was under a Tornado Warning earlier. 

1:29 - Lincoln and Moore Counties in TN are now under a Special Weather Statement for a storm that could produce wind gusts up to 55 mph. It includes the city of Fayetteville. This is expected to stay just under severe limits. 

1:33 - And the NWS Birmingham is sending up one of those special radiosonde balloon launches. To better assess the atmosphere here in the graveyard shift hours. 

1:41 - Got a new severe thunderstorm warning that includes Pulaski, TN. 

1:47 - Meanwhile the severe thunderstorm warnings for Lauderdale, Wayne, and Lawrence (TN) counties have been allowed to expire on time. 

1:52 - Found where the National Weather Service in Jackson (MS) already did a special radiosonde launch. And their environment is kind of marginal for favoring any tornadoes with the wind shear/helicity. But it's certainly ample for large hail and damaging winds. Strong instability at the surface. 

Time for a new post to keep up with severe thunderstorm warnings. 

427 

WFUS54 KOHX 310527

TOROHX

TNC099-101-181-310615-

/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0022.250331T0527Z-250331T0615Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

Tornado Warning

National Weather Service Nashville TN

1227 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...

  Southeastern Lewis County in Middle Tennessee...

  Northeastern Wayne County in Middle Tennessee...

  Northern Lawrence County in Middle Tennessee...

* Until 115 AM CDT.

* At 1227 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a

  tornado was located over Waynesboro, moving east at 45 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 

           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 

           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 

           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...

  Waynesboro around 1235 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include

Ethridge and Henryville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest

floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a

mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter

and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3541 8788 3548 8728 3544 8729 3543 8723

      3544 8723 3543 8721 3539 8722 3530 8721

      3529 8723 3528 8721 3523 8722 3520 8721

      3520 8722 3517 8722 3522 8789

TIME...MOT...LOC 0527Z 264DEG 39KT 3533 8779 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED

MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

10